Prediction Edge

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age69 years old (Jul 19, 1956)

GenderMale

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LocationKansas

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationTennessee Technological University — B.A.

Notable personal detailsRonald Gene Estes is a Republican politician serving as the U.S. representative for Kansas's 4th Congressional District, first elected in a 2017 special election. He previously served as Kansas State Treasurer (2011–2017) and as Sedgwick County Treasurer (2005–2011). He earned a B.A. and an M.B.A. from Tennessee Technological University.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts and policies favorable to businesses, including preserving and making permanent Trump-era tax cuts and promoting measures described as reducing burdensome taxes and regulations on small businesses. Has supported Republican tax legislation (including the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act) and opposed major Democratic tax-and-spending proposals.

Healthcare

Ron Estes opposes government-run universal health care such as Medicare for All and supports market-based approaches that preserve private and employer coverage. He voted for Republican repeal legislation (the AHCA) and has argued such proposals would harm rural hospitals and reduce choice.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and increased enforcement measures, including backing border patrol agents, visiting the southern border, and advocating for implementation of policies to detain or return certain unauthorized migrants. Has cosponsored and supported legislation and letters that emphasize securing the southern border and holding the administration accountable for border management.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Opposes abortion rights and identifies as pro-life, supports ending late-term abortions, opposes taxpayer-funded abortions, and has cosponsored or supported legislation restricting abortion such as the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act and the Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy policy prioritizing energy independence, backing federal measures to protect oil and gas producers and opposing what he describes as burdensome federal regulations on farmers, ranchers, and businesses. Has cosponsored bills and resolutions that push back on Biden administration climate actions and expressed support for preserving fossil-fuel tax provisions while criticizing large-scale federal climate mandates. Also introduced legislation limiting federal subsidies for electric vehicles and measures to protect marginal oil and gas wells from EPA methane/fe

Public Safety & Guns

Supports Second Amendment rights and opposes major new federal gun restrictions such as an assault weapons ban and parts of recent Senate gun-control proposals; favors strengthening enforcement of existing laws, improving background check systems (Fix NICS), and mental-health-focused measures. Endorses concealed-carry reciprocity and has voted against legislation to enact an assault weapons ban.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.3M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$572.0K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.9M
$943.6K
$1.8M
$73.8K

Cycle 2024

$2.3M
$1.2M
$2.0M
$84.7K

Cycle 2026

$1.5M
$1.6M
$1.1M
$71.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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