Prediction Edge
Democrat
Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

Overview

Current roleCommissioner

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age67 years old (Jan 7, 1959)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundReal estate developer

EducationUniversity of Southern California (BS, 1980)

Notable personal detailsRick Joseph Caruso is an American real estate developer and executive, known for founding and leading Caruso, a privately held real estate company behind prominent retail and mixed-use properties in the Los Angeles area, including The Grove and The Americana at Brand. He previously worked as a real-estate lawyer before transitioning full-time into development. Caruso has also held civic leadership roles in Los Angeles, including serving as president of the Los Angeles Board of Police Commissioners, and has been active in philanthropy through the Caruso Family Foundation.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Rick Caruso has criticized Los Angeles’ Measure ULA (a tiered property/transaction tax) and has pushed for suspending or rolling back the levy in fire-damaged zones, arguing it reduces investment and development. He has also emphasized reducing permitting fees and regulatory burdens that he says raise costs and discourage development. Caruso has disclosed limited tax-payment summaries but declined to release full tax returns.

Immigration & Border

Supports a pathway to citizenship for long-term undocumented residents who contribute economically and have no criminal record, while calling for secure borders and deportation of those with criminal records. Has funded and advocated for assistance to immigrant families affected by immigration enforcement.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate publicly identifies as pro‑choice, pledged financial support toward a 2022 California constitutional amendment to enshrine abortion rights, and has said he would defend reproductive rights. His past donations and earlier comments opposing abortion in many cases have drawn criticism and prompted scrutiny of his record.

Climate & Energy

Supports moving Los Angeles and energy systems away from dependence on fossil fuels, backing 100% renewable electricity goals while endorsing technologies like green hydrogen and storage to integrate intermittent renewables. Emphasizes sustainability measures from his past service at LADWP and on development projects but has not consistently published a detailed, fully specified climate plan.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports measures to reduce gun violence by targeting illegal and dangerous firearms (including ghost guns) and keeping guns out of the hands of domestic abusers while emphasizing stronger law-enforcement responses and increased officer staffing. Policy emphasis combines limited firearm restrictions and enforcement with a pro-policing approach to public safety.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Rick Caruso says he will not run in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, citing family considerations and concerns about the political climate. He has endorsed San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan for California governor, while saying he has not yet decided whom to back in the LA mayor’s race. His move comes as Democrats face a crowded and unsettled 2026 California governor contest, with party leaders and new polling highlighting fears that vote-splitting could help Republicans advance under the state’s top-two system.

cityclerk.lacity.org+53

Polls

California Governor primary advancers? (Person)
Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
23.5%
15.4%
8.7%
7.8%
5.7%
Rick Caruso
R. Caruso
Kamala Harris
K. Harris
Katie Porter
K. Porter
Chad Bianco
C. Bianco
Steve Hilton
S. Hilton
Rob Bonta
R. Bonta
Xavier Becerra
X. Becerra
Antonio Villaraigosa
A. Villaraigosa
Eleni Kounalakis
E. Kounalakis
Betty Yee
B. Yee
Tony Thurmond
T. Thurmond
Tom Steyer
T. Steyer
Date (Start - End)SpreadCarusoHarrisPorterBiancoHiltonBontaBecerraVillaraigosaKounalakisYeeThurmondSteyer
Polling Average
Harris+18.7
4.8%23.5%15.4%8.7%7.8%5.7%4.7%4.0%4.0%2.7%1.4%1.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+10.0
3.0%11.0%13.0%8.0%8.0%5.0%3.0%1.0%1.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+10.0
3.0%9.0%13.0%8.0%5.0%3.0%2.0%1.0%1.0%
Emerson CollegeSep 15 - 16
Porter+11.4
4.1%15.5%7.5%9.8%3.4%3.9%1.5%1.1%
Emerson CollegeSep 15 - 16
Porter+12.1
3.7%15.8%7.9%9.9%4.8%3.8%3.0%1.3%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesAug 11 - 17
Porter+13.0
4.0%17.0%10.0%6.0%9.0%4.0%2.0%1.0%
University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/Possibility Lab/TrueDotJul 31 - Aug 12
Porter+15.0
6.0%21.0%15.0%10.0%9.0%9.0%7.0%6.0%2.0%
Emerson CollegeAug 4 - 5
Porter+13.5
4.1%17.6%7.1%11.8%2.7%4.6%2.5%1.9%1.0%
University of California Irvine School of Social Ecology/TruedotMay 29 - Jun 4
Harris+15.0
9.0%24.0%6.0%4.0%2.0%4.0%2.0%
Capitol WeeklyFeb 3 - 7
Harris+15.0
8.0%23.0%16.0%7.0%4.0%2.0%2.0%2.0%1.0%
Capitol WeeklyFeb 3 - 7
Porter+18.0
8.0%26.0%9.0%5.0%3.0%5.0%3.0%2.0%
Breakthrough CampaignsNov 22 - 26
Porter+16.0
5.0%21.0%6.0%6.0%2.0%3.0%8.0%3.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 22 - 29
Porter+8.0
2.0%10.0%8.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%4.0%3.0%2.0%1.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaSep 12 - 25
Porter+11.4
2.6%14.0%4.7%4.0%3.5%2.9%2.6%2.1%2.6%1.3%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising