Prediction Edge
Republican
Ralph Alvarado

Ralph Alvarado

Overview

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationKentucky

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BackgroundPhysician (internal medicine and pediatrics)

EducationLoma Linda University (B.S., Biology)

Notable personal detailsRalph A. Alvarado is a physician and Republican politician from Winchester, Kentucky. He served in the Kentucky State Senate (2015–2023) and was the Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky in 2019. Alvarado later served as Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of Health (2023–2025). In 2026 he ran for U.S. House in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District and won the Republican primary.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting taxes to grow the economy and emphasizes tax reform to make Kentucky more competitive; favors unleashing American workers through lower taxes and pro-growth policies. Positions emphasize tax cuts and reducing barriers to economic growth rather than advocating tax increases or wealth redistribution.

Healthcare

Supports market-oriented changes to replace or roll back aspects of the Affordable Care Act and favors free-market approaches to health policy while showing pragmatic concern for preserving Medicaid expansion where feasible. Has emphasized protecting the physician–patient relationship and health-care finance reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Ralph Alvarado frames immigration as a border-security issue and has called for stopping what he describes as an "invasion" at the southern border. He has voiced opposition to "open borders" and has supported measures limiting sanctuary-city protections, aligning with stronger enforcement and border-control priorities while not advocating explicitly for maximalist deportation policies in the available statements.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports legal restrictions on abortion including bans after certain gestational ages and measures to prohibit abortions for reasons such as fetal sex or disability while preserving narrow medical exceptions. Has spoken in favor of and voted for state-level abortion limits.

Climate & Energy

Ralph Alvarado emphasizes restoring U.S. energy independence and supports policies that favor domestic energy production while prioritizing economic growth and reduced regulation. His campaign platform frames energy policy within an 'America First' agenda rather than aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style commitments.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong Second Amendment protections and has received high ratings and endorsements from the National Rifle Association; positions align with defending gun rights and backing law-enforcement-oriented public safety approaches.

Polls

KY-06 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
30.3%
13%
Ralph Alvarado
R. Alvarado
Ryan Dotson
R. Dotson
Greg Plucinski
G. Plucinski
Steve Shannon
S. Shannon
Adam Perez Arquette
A. Arquette
Date (Start - End)SpreadAlvaradoDotsonPlucinskiShannonArquette
Polling Average
Alvarado+17.3
30.3%13.0%4.7%2.0%0.7%
1892 PollingMay 4 - 7
Alvarado+23.0
38.0%15.0%8.0%3.0%1.0%
1892 PollingApr 6 - 8
Alvarado+21.0
32.0%11.0%6.0%1.0%0.0%
1892 PollingFeb 10 - 12
Alvarado+8.0
21.0%13.0%0.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.5M
$1.1M
$760.9K
$380.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.5M
$398.0K
$1.1M
$62.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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