Prediction Edge
Republican
PB

Paul Berry III

Overview

Current roleBail bondsman

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationMissouri

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BackgroundBail bondsman

Notable personal detailsPaul Berry III is a Missouri Republican candidate who has run for multiple offices, including St. Louis County Executive (2018 and 2020) and lieutenant governor (2024). He has described his work as a bail bondsman and business consultant, and has been active as a community/political commentator in the St. Louis area. He previously announced an exploratory effort to challenge the Democratic incumbent in Missouri's 1st Congressional District in the mid-2010s.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Immigration & Border

Supports construction of a border wall and related infrastructure to control entry and exit, and expresses opposition to resettlement of Syrian refugees without what he describes as proper vetting. Policies emphasize stronger border controls and restrictions on refugee resettlement rather than expanded legal pathways or protections for asylum seekers.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Paul Berry III has been publicly endorsed by Missouri Right to Life and campaign materials state he will protect unborn babies and their mothers. His voter-questionnaire profile indicates opposition to public funding for Planned Parenthood and aligns with pro-life positions, but there are no detailed public policy statements found specifying gestational limits or exception policies.

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Climate & Energy

Paul Berry III has expressed support for removing nuclear waste from the Westlake Landfill and shipping it out of Missouri. Public questionnaire profiles and campaign materials do not show a clear, comprehensive position on broader climate policy or energy transition measures.

Public Safety & Guns

Paul Berry III has promoted both firearm restrictions and statewide uniformity on gun rights: he has said more restrictive gun-control laws are needed to protect public safety and filed a proposed constitutional amendment that would prohibit local jurisdictions from passing gun regulations while also imposing age/parental-permission limits on minors’ possession. His positions contain elements of both support for new restrictions and support for statewide preemption of local gun rules.

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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