Prediction Edge
Democrat
Patrick Schmidt

Overview

Current roleState Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

GenderMale

LocationKansas

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BackgroundKansas state senator

EducationTufts University (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsPatrick Schmidt is a Democratic politician serving in the Kansas Senate (19th District) since January 2025 and a candidate for U.S. Senate in Kansas in 2026. He previously ran for the U.S. House in Kansas’ 2nd Congressional District in 2022. Schmidt is a U.S. Navy veteran who served as an intelligence officer, later serving in the U.S. Naval Reserves, and has worked at the Pentagon. He earned a B.A. from Tufts University and lives in Topeka, Kansas.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Patrick Schmidt has supported property tax relief and targeted tax credits (including for energy-efficiency/home improvements) while also criticizing tax cuts that he says benefited wealthy interests. His public statements combine support for tax credits and relief for working families with critiques of corporate-favored tax policy, yielding a mixed pattern on taxes and government spending.

Healthcare

Supports expanding Medicaid in Kansas to extend coverage to roughly 150,000 people, lowering prescription drug costs (including support for legislation like the Lower Drug Costs Now Act), and increasing federally qualified health centers to improve access and reduce costs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing the southern border through bipartisan measures while also expanding legal pathways and visas and applying a compassionate approach to migrants and refugees. Emphasizes fixing border security first and then creating pathways for legal immigration, including workforce visas like H-2A. Advocates balancing enforcement resources for Border Patrol with humanitarian treatment of migrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has publicly stated support for abortion rights and said the legislature should respect voters and stop trying to ban abortion. He also amended legislation in a way critics said treated fetuses in tax/child-support language, a move that drawn criticism from abortion-rights advocates and created ambiguity about his position.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding wind energy in Kansas and encouraging investment in wind education, technology, and production while acknowledging the need to invest in other energy supplies during the transition to greater renewable capacity.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports common-sense gun safety reforms and has been recognized by a gun safety advocacy group as a ‘Gun Sense’ candidate; frames addressing gun violence as a policy question to consider.

Polls

GQR
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45%
Patrick Schmidt
P. Schmidt
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
GQRApr 27, 2026
45.0%
Tavern ResearchJan 28, 2026
46.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$177.2K
$132.9K
$88.6K
$44.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$177.2K
$129.6K
$47.6K
$3.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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