Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Nick Begich III

Nick Begich III

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age48 years old (Oct 21, 1977)

GenderMale

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LocationAlaska

BackgroundBusiness owner

EducationThe Master's Academy (Oviedo, Florida) — 1995

Notable personal detailsNicholas Joseph Begich III is a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives, representing Alaska’s at-large congressional district since January 3, 2025. Born in Anchorage, Alaska, he is a business owner, entrepreneur, and investor, and previously ran for the seat in the 2022 special and regular elections. He graduated from The Master's Academy (1995), earned a B.B.A. from Baylor University (1999), and an M.B.A. from Indiana University Bloomington (2002).

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports preserving and extending recent tax cuts, opposes new income tax increases, and voted for Republican legislation that reduces taxes for working families while trimming federal spending. Emphasizes pro-growth tax policy and fiscal restraint alongside targeted investments for Alaska.

Healthcare

Supports market-oriented reforms to the Affordable Care Act and changes to Medicaid eligibility while also pursuing federal rural health funding for Alaska. Opposed a three-year extension of ACA premium subsidies and has endorsed Medicaid ‘‘integrity’’ reforms such as work requirements. Has secured federal dollars to strengthen rural hospitals and telehealth in Alaska.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger immigration enforcement and border controls, including expanding tools to detain and deport noncitizens who pose threats and implementing measures such as Migrant Protection Protocols. Backed legislation increasing criminal grounds for inadmissibility and deportability and voted for bills framed to give states additional enforcement standing. Emphasizes public safety and national security in immigration policy.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports restrictions on abortion while allowing exceptions for the life of the mother and for rape and incest; opposes federal funding for most abortions. Has supported federal legislation aligned with restricting abortion-related practices, including backing the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act and related measures.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding Alaska oil and gas development and major energy infrastructure (including Alaska LNG and pipelines), favors rolling back federal restrictions and regulations that limit resource development, and emphasizes energy independence and U.S. energy security. Policies prioritize unlocking fossil fuel and mineral resources to create jobs and strengthen economic growth rather than aggressive emissions limits.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate strongly supports the Second Amendment and opposes gun control legislation. He has said he will defend the right to keep and bear arms, advocated firearm safety training, and cosponsored federal concealed-carry reciprocity legislation.

Polls

Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.8%
34.5%
32.7%
Nick Begich III
N. Begich
Matt Schultz
M. Schultz
Bill Hill
B. Hill
John Williams
J. Williams
Date (Start - End)SpreadBegichSchultzHillWilliams
Polling Average
Begich+13.3
47.8%34.5%32.7%4.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 18 - 27
Begich+10.0
55.0%45.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 18 - 27
Begich+4.0
52.0%48.0%
Change ResearchMar 17 - 20
Begich+28.0
45.0%17.0%13.0%4.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 11 - 12
Begich+7.0
46.0%39.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 11 - 12
Begich+4.0
41.0%37.0%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Begich+11.0
48.0%37.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.3M
$3.2M
$2.2M
$1.1M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.6M
$41.2K
$1.6M
$66.6K

Cycle 2024

$2.8M
$104.3K
$2.7M
$114.5K

Cycle 2026

$4.3M
$2.8M
$1.6M
$105.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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