Prediction Edge
Republican
Morgan Murphy

Morgan Murphy

Overview

Current roleUnited States Navy Reserve officer (captain)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationAlabama

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BackgroundUnited States Navy Reserve officer (captain)

EducationBirmingham–Southern College (B.A., 1994)

Notable personal detailsMorgan W. W. Murphy is an Alabama-based author and U.S. Navy Reserve captain who worked in Republican national security and communications roles, including as national security advisor to U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville (2021–2023) and as press secretary to the U.S. Secretary of Defense (2020–2021). He filed as a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Alabama for the 2026 election cycle and ran in the GOP primary.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports eliminating the federal income tax and abolishing the IRS, replacing the current code with a national sales tax (the Fair Tax). Favors lower taxes, reduced regulatory burdens, cutting wasteful federal spending, auditing agencies, and a balanced-budget amendment. Advocates tax transparency and policies intended to let families and small businesses keep more of their earnings.

Immigration & Border

Morgan Murphy calls for sealing the border, backing President Trump’s immigration executive orders and mass deportation and border-enforcement plans; he supports drastically reducing annual legal immigration in favor of a merit-based system, ending the Diversity Visa lottery, and restricting certain visa categories. His campaign language emphasizes strong enforcement and limits on asylum and immigration to prevent large-scale entry of unauthorized noncitizens.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate describes himself as strongly pro-life, opposes federal funding of abortion-related services for service members, and says abortion policy is a states issue while declining to endorse a specific nationwide ban. He has framed opposition to abortion funding in federal policy and has led or supported actions to restrict federal support for abortion-related services.

Climate & Energy

Supports energy independence emphasizing nuclear power and domestic oil and gas, prioritizes faster permitting and reduced regulatory barriers for energy projects, and frames protection of land, air, and water alongside promoting nuclear research and manufacturing. Policies emphasize market-driven development and investment in next-generation nuclear rather than aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style measures.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate opposes federal gun registries and red flag laws and frames the Second Amendment as an absolute right that should be defended; the campaign supports cracking down on gangs and cartel members who traffic illegal firearms while arguing gun-control laws punish law‑abiding citizens.

Polls

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
21.6%
17.6%
17.3%
Morgan Murphy
M. Murphy
Steve Marshall
S. Marshall
Barry Moore
B. Moore
Jared Hudson
J. Hudson
Date (Start - End)SpreadMurphyMarshallMooreHudson
Polling Average
Marshall+20.6
1.0%21.6%17.6%17.3%
Quantus InsightsMay 15 - 17
Hudson+35.5
0.3%13.5%26.9%35.8%
Remington Research GroupMay 5 - 7
Moore+22.0
1.0%16.0%23.0%20.0%
Remington Research GroupMar 2 - 4
Moore+21.0
1.0%16.0%22.0%12.0%
The Alabama PollFeb 1 - 3
Marshall+25.0
1.0%26.0%17.0%8.0%
Remington Research GroupJan 16 - 19
Marshall+25.0
1.0%26.0%13.0%10.0%
The Alabama PollDec 15 - 18
Marshall+28.9
0.8%29.7%12.3%8.0%
Quantus InsightsOct 13 - 14
Hudson+25.0
2.0%24.0%9.0%27.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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