Prediction Edge
RepublicanTrump Endorsed
Mike Mazzei

Mike Mazzei

Overview

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationOklahoma

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationGeorge Mason University — B.A. (government and politics)

Notable personal detailsMike Mazzei is an Oklahoma Republican politician and financial planner who served in the Oklahoma State Senate (District 25) from 2004 to 2016 and later served as Oklahoma Secretary of Budget in Governor Kevin Stitt’s administration (2019–2020). He announced a run for Governor of Oklahoma in the 2026 election cycle and filed for the office in April 2026. He is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma and has five adult children.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports major tax reductions including phasing out property taxes and eliminating the state income tax through a multi-phase plan; emphasizes cutting waste, reducing tax rates (proposes lowering the income tax from 4.75% to 3.25%), and fiscal discipline to preserve essential services while shrinking tax burdens.

Healthcare

Mike Mazzei, while serving as Oklahoma’s budget secretary, supported pursuing a state-specific Medicaid approach (a waiver/’Medicaid 2.0’ style plan) focused on implementation details such as premiums, work requirements, and controlling state costs rather than straightforward ACA-style expansion. His campaign materials emphasize fiscal restraint and rejecting federal mandates tied to funding, and he has highlighted budgetary concerns when discussing Medicaid expansion. There is no campaign page endorsing Medicare for All or a universal public option.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports strong enforcement measures and frames unauthorized immigration as a security threat, calling for protecting Oklahoma from foreign ownership and ‘illegal aliens’ and endorsing cooperation with federal authorities to defend borders and public safety. His campaign emphasizes expelling or blocking foreign hostile ownership of land and backing law-enforcement-focused responses to immigration-related risks.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports eliminating abortion in Oklahoma with narrow exceptions to protect the life of the mother and describes a 100% pro-life voting record from his time in the state Senate. He endorses returning authority over abortion to the states and seeks statutory language to end abortion while preserving life-threatening medical exceptions. He opposes unrestricted access and supports parental-consent style restrictions for minors.

Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes protecting Oklahoma energy resources and supports oil and gas production alongside other energy sources, criticizes 'green energy' policies he sees as harmful to the state economy, and favors market-driven approaches and limited tax incentives for energy. He has proposed limiting certain tax exemptions for marginal oil wells to protect state revenues.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports broad gun-carry rights and has publicly backed constitutional-carry policies; is affiliated with Oklahoma Second Amendment advocacy groups. Positions emphasize Second Amendment protections and reducing permitting requirements for carrying firearms.

Latest Insights

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

2d

Mike Mazzei remains the heavy favorite in the Oklahoma GOP governor nominee market even after fresh reporting on Trump’s May 29 endorsement, keeping the race’s repricing centered on the Mazzei-vs.-Keating split ahead of the June 16 primary.

79%7%

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

12d

Donald Trump backed Mike Mazzei for the Oklahoma Republican governor nomination, and Mazzei is currently at 21%.

21%

Polls

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
9.0%
31.2%
14.9%
10%
10%
9.8%
Mike Mazzei
M. Mazzei
G. Drummond
Charles McCall
C. McCall
Matt Pinnell
M. Pinnell
Ryan Walters
R. Walters
Chip Keating
C. Keating
Jake Merrick
J. Merrick
Date (Start - End)SpreadMazzeiDrummondMcCallPinnellWaltersKeatingMerrick
Polling Average
Drummond+22.2
9.0%31.2%14.9%10.0%10.0%9.8%4.6%
JMC AnalyticsJun 2 - 3
Mazzei+5.0
26.0%21.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceMay 26 - 28
Drummond+2.0
22.0%24.0%12.0%17.0%
Allyson Shortle/NonDoc MediaMay 21 - 25
Mazzei+0.4
22.1%21.7%18.4%21.4%7.2%
Pulse Decision SicenceApr 7 - 9
Drummond+18.0
15.0%33.0%12.0%21.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesJan 26 - 30
Drummond+23.0
13.0%36.0%14.0%13.0%5.0%
yes. every kid.Oct 29 - 31
Drummond+20.0
2.0%22.0%22.0%7.0%2.0%
co/efficientOct 25 - 27
McCall+30.0
1.0%20.0%31.0%5.0%3.0%
Stratus IntelligenceOct 15 - 17
McCall+31.0
1.0%30.0%32.0%7.0%4.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesAug 4 - 10
Drummond+41.0
2.0%43.0%8.0%8.0%4.0%3.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesAug 4 - 10
Drummond+46.0
2.0%48.0%10.0%4.0%4.0%
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & AssociatesMay 5 - 9
Drummond+38.0
1.0%39.0%5.0%10.0%12.0%3.0%1.0%
Victory InsightsFeb 23 - 25
Drummond+36.0
1.3%37.3%6.2%2.8%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

Endorsers of Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

Donald Trump

Elected official

Donald Trump endorsed Mike Mazzei for governor of Oklahoma.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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