Prediction Edge
Republican
Melissa Bailey

Melissa Bailey

Overview

Current roleAuditor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

LocationNew Hampshire

BackgroundAuditor

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EducationWake Forest University — B.S. Analytical Finance (2002)

Notable personal detailsMelissa Bailey is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. She has worked in auditing, accounting and banking, and has also been a homeschool educator. She has served as vice chair of the Bedford Republican Committee.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower taxes, limited regulation, and reduced federal spending to rebuild the economy and reduce inflation; emphasizes returning to “smart fiscal leadership” and cutting red tape for small businesses. Advocates energy independence to lower costs for families and strengthen national security.

Immigration & Border

Supports securing the border and enforcing immigration laws, including codifying former President Trump’s border policies, keeping the border closed to illegal crossings, deporting violent criminals, and fully empowering ICE to enforce immigration laws.

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Climate & Energy

Supports pursuing energy independence and increasing domestic energy production to lower costs and strengthen national security; emphasizes limited regulation and lower taxes to support economic growth. Policy language focuses on bringing energy production 'back home' rather than endorsing aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style measures.

Polls

NH-01 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
10%
7%
Melissa Bailey
M. Bailey
Hollie Noveletsky
H. Noveletsky
Anthony DiLorenzo
A. DiLorenzo
Date (Start - End)SpreadBaileyNoveletskyDiLorenzo
Polling Average
Noveletsky+8.0
2.0%10.0%7.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJan 15 - 19
Noveletsky+11.0
4.0%15.0%10.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterNov 18 - 19
Noveletsky+3.0
2.0%5.0%4.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 23
Noveletsky+10.0
0.0%10.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$192.7K
$144.5K
$96.3K
$48.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$192.7K
$119.8K
$72.9K
$4.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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