Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matthew Dunlap

Overview

Current roleFormer Auditor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age61 years old (Nov 26, 1964)

GenderMale

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LocationMaine

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Maine (graduate)

Notable personal detailsMatthew Dunlap is an American politician from Maine and a member of the Democratic Party. He has served as Maine State Auditor (selected again in November 2022) and previously served as Maine Secretary of State (2005–2011; 2013–2021), after serving multiple terms in the Maine House of Representatives representing Old Town. He is a University of Maine graduate and has run for Maine's 2nd Congressional District seat.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports expanded social programs (Medicare-for-all, universal childcare, affordable housing) and pro-labor policies, favors lifting broad Trump-era tariffs while allowing targeted tariffs to address unfair trade practices, and backs measures like an expanded child tax credit. Positions emphasize increased public investment and worker protections rather than tax-cutting or austerity.

Healthcare

Supports moving toward a Medicare-for-All / single-payer system to expand universal coverage and reduce costs; advocates limiting the role of private insurers and pharmaceutical companies in deciding access to care; supports reproductive health access as part of health policy priorities.

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Immigration & Border

Supports limits on aggressive ICE enforcement and increased accountability for immigration agents, opposing warrantless arrests/searches and covert tactics; frames deportation surges as unlawful and calls for protections for residents. Does not appear to advocate for maximal restrictionist policies.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate describes himself as pro-choice and says he will fight to protect reproductive freedom, while acknowledging a single past vote in favor of a 24-hour waiting period for abortion services more than two decades ago. His campaign statements emphasize protecting access to reproductive care despite that earlier vote.

Climate & Energy

Supports energy efficiency measures and increased renewable generation while endorsing transitional use of natural gas; favors policies to reduce pollution from fossil-fuel sources and opposed controversial Arctic drilling proposals. Positions emphasize improving home weatherization, multimodal transportation, and renewable energy development alongside pragmatic transitions away from higher-emitting fuels.

Public Safety & Guns

Matt Dunlap is a gun owner who has been closely involved with the Sportsman’s Alliance of Maine and has represented that organization in state-level discussions about gun policy. He emphasizes hunting and firearms traditions in Maine and has criticized broad characterizations of firearms ownership while working with gun-owner groups. His public record indicates support for gun-owner interests and skepticism toward broad gun bans rather than advocacy for expansive new restrictions.

Polls

ME-02 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
25.4%
34.5%
17.7%
Matthew Dunlap
M. Dunlap
Joe Baldacci
J. Baldacci
Jordan Wood
J. Wood
Date (Start - End)SpreadDunlapBaldacciWood
Polling Average
Baldacci+9.1
25.4%34.5%17.7%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Baldacci+5.0
22.0%27.0%21.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Baldacci+8.0
30.0%38.0%32.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25
Wood+6.0
17.0%22.0%23.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchMay 8 - 18
Baldacci+22.0
17.0%39.0%15.0%
Tulchin ResearchMar 5 - 8
Dunlap+7.0
36.0%29.0%11.0%
Tulchin ResearchMar 5 - 8
Dunlap+14.0
57.0%43.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchFeb 13 - Mar 2
Baldacci+22.0
14.0%36.0%12.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchNov 29 - Dec 7
Baldacci+32.0
10.0%42.0%10.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$931.5K
$698.6K
$465.7K
$232.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$931.5K
$93.5K
$838.0K
$49.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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