Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matt Rains

Matt Rains

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Overview

Current roleU.S. Army veteran (helicopter pilot)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationMontana

BackgroundU.S. Army veteran (helicopter pilot)

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EducationUnited States Military Academy at West Point (engineering degree)

Notable personal detailsMatthew Rains is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Montana’s 1st Congressional District (MT-01) in the 2026 election cycle. He is a U.S. Army veteran who flew UH-60 Black Hawk helicopters and served in Iraq. He has worked as chief of staff for the Montana Farmers Union and has been involved with efforts to develop a producer-owned USDA-inspected meat processing cooperative in Havre. He is also a Montana rancher and has worked as a photographer/photojournalist.

SourcesShow
fec.govmattrainsformontana.commtpr.orgmontanafreepress.orgprojects.montanafreepress.orgen.wikipedia.orgpolymarket.commontanademocrats.orgmontanarightnow.comkbzk.comnationaltoday.comapnews.commadisoncountymt.govdocquery.fec.govvotesumnertn.orgbloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.comrevenue.mt.govmountainstatespolicy.orgballotready.orgbigskybusinessjournal.comnewsfromthestates.comkpax.comkulr8.comdailyinterlake.comkxlf.comaol.comjustfacts.votesmart.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgcdn.ballotpedia.orgwashingtonpost.comcbsnews.comzinke.house.govdaines.senate.govforeignaffairs.house.govhistory.house.govcongress.govgovinfo.gov

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering costs for Montanans including bringing down food, housing, and property taxes while opposing tariffs that raise prices; also emphasizes protecting Medicaid and support for family farms and ranchers. Positions combine targeted tax relief with support for public programs, producing a mixed pattern on economy and taxes.

Healthcare

Supports protecting access to health care and rural hospitals and opposes cuts to Medicaid that would threaten rural clinics; calls for restoring Medicaid funding to keep clinics open and make health care affordable for Montanans.

Polls

Upswing Research
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43%
Matt Rains
M. Rains
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Upswing ResearchMay 5, 2026
–43.0%
Tulchin ResearchApr 1, 2026
–5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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