Prediction Edge
Republican
Matt Gress

Matt Gress

Overview

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

Age37 years old (Jul 8, 1988)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationArizona

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Oklahoma (B.A.)

Notable personal detailsMatthew Owen Gress is a Republican member of the Arizona House of Representatives representing Legislative District 4, first elected in 2022 and taking office in January 2023. He previously worked as an analyst for Arizona’s Joint Legislative Budget Committee and served as Director of the Governor’s Office of Strategic Planning and Budgeting under Gov. Doug Ducey. He earned a B.A. from the University of Oklahoma and an M.P.A. from Syracuse University, and has been involved in education governance through the Madison Elementary School District governing board.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering taxes and reducing regulatory burdens on small businesses, including eliminating the food and rental taxes; backed authoring large state tax cuts as budget director while emphasizing fiscally responsible budgets and opposition to automatic tax-cut formulas that could tie lawmakers’ hands.

Healthcare

Public materials emphasize ensuring access to healthcare, addressing the nursing shortage, and expanding behavioral-health workforce capacity, but do not set out a clear position on major national health-policy questions such as ACA expansion, a public option, Medicare for All, or Medicaid changes.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports increased border security and more resources/manpower at the border and favors limiting public benefits (including in-state tuition) for people not lawfully present; frames immigration policy around enforcement and restricting benefits for unauthorized migrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports restrictions on abortion while allowing exceptions for rape, incest, and the life of the mother; favors a 15-week statutory limit rather than the 1864 near-total territorial ban. Positions emphasize being pro‑life while opposing late‑term and taxpayer‑funded abortions and seeking exceptions and supports for women and children.

Climate & Energy

Supports research and innovations to conserve water and reduce emissions while emphasizing limited government and opposing “extreme environmental policies”; has supported legislative measures that would limit local restrictions on appliances and has accepted utility industry campaign contributions. Positions emphasize water security and market/innovation approaches rather than aggressive fossil-fuel phase-out or Green New Deal–style mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

Prioritizes strengthening law enforcement and public-safety resources to combat violent crime and the fentanyl crisis, and emphasizes school safety and support for police. Announces a “Save Our Streets” plan to provide more resources to law enforcement, prosecutors, and courts. Holds endorsements from multiple Arizona law-enforcement associations.

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • News
  • Polls
  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising