Prediction Edge
Democrat
Mary Peltola

Overview

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age52 years old (Aug 31, 1973)

GenderFemale

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LocationAlaska

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Northern Colorado (attended, 1991–1994)

Notable personal detailsMary Sattler Peltola is an American politician who served as the U.S. representative for Alaska’s at-large congressional district from 2022 to 2025. A Democrat and an enrolled member of the Orutsararmiut Traditional Native Council, she previously served in the Alaska House of Representatives (1999–2009) and on the Bethel City Council. She worked as executive director of the Kuskokwim River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission (2017–2022) and has also worked in community development and as a professional advocate.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Mary Peltola supports targeted revenue increases to fund social programs and enforcement (including backing Democratic proposals to raise the Social Security taxable earnings cap) and has opposed Republican efforts to rescind increased IRS funding. She emphasizes using federal policy to support Alaskans’ economic prosperity while pursuing resource development and infrastructure to boost state revenue.

Healthcare

Supports expanding and strengthening public programs and access to care, including protecting Medicaid expansion and expanding Medicare benefits (dental, vision, hearing); prioritizes lowering prescription drug costs and strengthening rural hospitals. Has cosponsored legislation to increase Medicare payments for facilities serving Alaska and to fund targeted public-health initiatives.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has opposed high-profile enforcement-first measures in Congress and voted against the House impeachment of DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, signaling support for preserving existing administration immigration leadership and resisting major expansions of border-enforcement legislation. Public campaign materials do not prominently feature an enforcement-maximalist approach.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports legal access to abortion and has backed federal measures to protect and maintain abortion access, including legislation to protect medication abortion and to prohibit governmental restrictions on abortion services. Advocates codifying protections for reproductive healthcare at the federal level.

Climate & Energy

Supports investments in renewable energy, emissions reductions, and fisheries/coastal resilience while also backing Alaska energy development and projects such as the Willow oil project; positions include both pro-environment measures and support for state energy and job development. Policy record includes sponsoring conservation and fisheries-related climate adaptation bills alongside advocacy for energy infrastructure and approved oil development.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports Second Amendment rights for lawful hunting, recreation, and self-defense while backing expanded background checks, reasonable waiting periods, secure-storage measures, and some age limits; has been noncommittal or cautious about a blanket ban on assault weapons and red flag laws. Positions combine support for gun ownership in Alaska with openness to targeted, ‘common-sense’ regulations.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedFeb 10, 2026

Mary Peltola, running as a Democratic challenger in Alaska’s 2026 U.S. Senate race, has raised about $1.5 million shortly after entering the contest. The report notes she trails Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan’s fundraising total, with Sullivan holding over $5.8 million. The race is described as potentially pivotal for control of the Senate.

history.house.gov+46

Polls

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.8%
44.8%
Mary Peltola
M. Peltola
Dan Sullivan
D. Sullivan
Sid Hill
S. Hill
Ann Diener
A. Diener
Date (Start - End)SpreadPeltolaSullivanHillDiener
Polling Average
Peltola+3.0
47.8%44.8%3.2%2.4%
Alaska Survey ResearchMay 14 - 17
Peltola+4.6
48.4%43.8%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19
Peltola+6.6
49.1%42.5%3.2%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19
Peltola+6.6
50.2%43.6%
Alaska Survey ResearchMar 19 - 22
Peltola+5.3
48.8%43.5%2.4%
Alaska Survey ResearchMar 19 - 22
Peltola+6.6
50.4%43.8%
Alaska Survey ResearchMar 19 - 22
Peltola+4.8
52.4%47.6%
Public Policy PollingJan 16 - 17
Peltola+2.0
49.0%47.0%
Alaska Survey ResearchJan 8 - 11
Peltola+1.6
48.0%46.4%
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23
Peltola+1.0
46.0%45.0%
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 15
Peltola+1.8
47.7%45.9%
Alaska Survey ResearchJul 29 - Aug 1
Sullivan+4.2
42.5%46.7%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Sullivan+1.0
45.0%46.0%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 21 - 25
Peltola+3.0
44.0%41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$13.4M
$10.1M
$6.7M
$3.4M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$7.8M
$691.3K
$7.1M
$294.2K

Cycle 2024

$13.4M
$84.0K
$14.1M
$585.5K

Cycle 2026

$152.3K
$3.5K
$232.8K
$16.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements