Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Mary Miller

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age66 years old (Aug 7, 1959)

GenderFemale

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LocationIllinois

BackgroundPolitician

EducationEastern Illinois University — B.S., Business Management

Notable personal detailsMary Elizabeth Miller is a Republican politician and farmer serving as the U.S. representative for Illinois’s 15th congressional district since 2021. She is a member of the House Freedom Caucus and has served on the House Committee on Agriculture and the House Committee on Education and the Workforce. She earned a B.S. in Business Management from Eastern Illinois University and completed graduate coursework in education, with an Illinois teaching certification. She is married to Illinois state representative Chris Miller and they have seven children.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports making the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent and backing tax policies that reduce burdens on families and farms; advocates rolling back or repealing tax rules seen as increasing reporting burdens on small sellers/gig workers. Emphasizes pro-growth, pro-agriculture economic measures and votes in alignment with conservative tax-cut priorities.

Healthcare

Supports market-based healthcare reforms including increased competition and price transparency, opposition to single-payer proposals, and policies such as expanding health savings accounts and tort reform to reduce costs. Emphasizes preserving existing benefits for current Medicare recipients while promoting private-market solutions and interstate insurance competition. Positions on reproductive-health policy align with pro-life stances that affect related healthcare policy.

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Immigration & Border

Supports strong border enforcement and stricter immigration controls, emphasizing that illegal border crossings are criminal and arguing for deportation and accountability for officials perceived as failing to secure the border. Has sponsored/co-sponsored legislation and introduced measures aimed at restricting benefits for undocumented immigrants and cracking down on sanctuary policies. Advocates increased resources and enforcement to stop illegal migration and human trafficking.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Mary Miller opposes abortion and praises the Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade; she frames abortion as the taking of innocent life and supports policies protecting life from conception. She has criticized expanded abortion access (including minors obtaining abortions without parental notification) and described state actions that protect life from conception positively.

Climate & Energy

Opposes aggressive decarbonization and international calls to phase out fossil fuels, criticizes green energy policies as harmful to affordability and reliability, and characterizes climate activism and CO2 regulation negatively. Has introduced or co-sponsored measures condemning UN language on moving away from fossil fuels and has emphasized supporting domestic fossil fuel production and energy affordability.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate opposes new federal gun-control measures (including expanded background checks and age/magazine restrictions), vocally supports Second Amendment protections, and has endorsed local gun-rights resolutions and caucuses that oppose red flag and assault-weapons restrictions.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$1.0M
$505.0K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.0M
$310.0K
$1.8M
$76.2K

Cycle 2024

$1.6M
$646.3K
$1.3M
$52.5K

Cycle 2026

$1.1M
$833.2K
$917.3K
$61.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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