Prediction Edge
RepublicanTrump Endorsed
Ken Paxton

Overview

Current roleAttorney General

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age63 years old (Dec 23, 1962)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundAttorney

EducationBaylor University — B.A., Psychology (1985)

Notable personal detailsWarren Kenneth Paxton Jr. is an American politician and lawyer who has served as the 51st Attorney General of Texas since 2015. Before becoming attorney general, he served in the Texas House of Representatives and the Texas Senate. He earned a B.A. in Psychology and an M.B.A. from Baylor University and later received a J.D. from the University of Virginia School of Law. He has four children: Tucker, Abby, Mattie, and Katie.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering or protecting taxes for households and businesses and favors passing corporate tax savings to consumers; has intervened to defend property tax cuts and opposed local actions that would raise property taxes. Policy actions emphasize tax relief and reduced tax burdens rather than expanding taxation or redistribution.

Healthcare

Opposes federal mandates expanding or compelling specific healthcare services and defends state control over Medicaid and parental access to children’s medical records; pursues legal action against federal HHS rules and policies he views as overreach. Supports enforcement actions against pharmaceutical companies and investigations of healthcare practices he deems deceptive or unsafe.

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Immigration & Border

Ken Paxton advocates aggressive enforcement-first border and immigration policies, including criminalizing illegal entry, supporting detention and removal of unauthorized immigrants, opposing DACA and sanctuary/local noncooperation, and suing NGOs and localities he alleges facilitate unlawful immigration. He has led legal actions and public campaigns to expand state enforcement authority and to block or reverse federal policies he views as permissive toward unauthorized migration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Ken Paxton supports strict limits on abortion and has acted to defend and expand enforcement of Texas’s pro-life laws; he commemorated the overturning of Roe v. Wade and has sought to block or challenge policies and rulings that would expand abortion access or exceptions.

Climate & Energy

Ken Paxton has repeatedly challenged federal climate and green-energy regulations and taken legal action to protect fossil fuel production and exports. His office frames federal emissions rules, methane regulations, and renewable-focused grid mandates as unlawful federal overreach that threaten energy independence and economic interests. Paxton has also pursued litigation against financial firms and policies he says favor ‘green energy’ at the expense of traditional energy sources.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports broad Second Amendment protections, including constitutional/concealed-carry reciprocity and defending the right of licensed Texans to carry on public property; opposes local or federal firearm restrictions and has repeatedly sued or filed briefs to block firearm bans. Advocates policies to expand carry rights rather than new gun-control measures.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Ken Paxton is headed to a May 26, 2026 Republican Senate runoff in Texas against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn after neither won a majority in the primary. New polling shows Paxton leading Cornyn 49% to 41%, with undecided voters still in play. The race is also being shaped by endorsement pressure, including a public endorsement of Paxton from Rep. Eric Burlison and ongoing speculation over whether Donald Trump will back Paxton or Cornyn.

www2.texasattorneygeneral.gov+40

Polls

Texas Republican Senate nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
38.2%
32.1%
23.3%
Ken Paxton
K. Paxton
John Cornyn
J. Cornyn
Wesley Hunt
W. Hunt
Date (Start - End)SpreadPaxtonCornynHunt
Polling Average
Paxton+6.1
38.2%32.1%23.3%
YouGovFeb 26 - Mar 2
Paxton+4.0
36.0%32.0%17.0%
Emerson CollegeFeb 26 - 27
Paxton+3.9
39.8%35.9%16.5%
Quantus InsightsFeb 25 - 26
Paxton+6.0
43.0%37.0%16.0%
VictoryPhonesFeb 24 - 25
Paxton+9.3
38.8%29.5%15.4%
Blueprint PollingFeb 23 - 24
Paxton+11.6
41.5%29.9%13.6%
Peak InsightsFeb 19 - 23
Paxton+0.0
36.0%36.0%14.0%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 13 - 22
Hunt+6.0
30.0%21.0%36.0%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 13 - 22
Hunt+3.0
31.0%21.0%34.0%
Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGovFeb 2 - 16
Paxton+2.0
36.0%34.0%26.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesFeb 9 - 12
Paxton+7.0
36.0%29.0%26.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesFeb 9 - 12
Paxton+12.0
50.0%38.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesFeb 9 - 12
Paxton+2.0
44.0%42.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceFeb 8 - 11
Paxton+9.0
36.0%27.0%15.0%
Peak InsightsFeb 3 - 8
Paxton+2.0
31.0%29.0%25.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceFeb 1 - 3
Paxton+8.0
34.0%26.0%18.0%
J.L. PartnersJan 31 - Feb 2
Paxton+1.3
27.0%25.5%25.7%
J.L. PartnersJan 31 - Feb 2
Paxton+1.0
41.0%40.0%
J.L. PartnersJan 31 - Feb 2
Hunt+10.0
34.0%44.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersJan 29 - Feb 1
Cornyn+2.0
29.0%31.0%24.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGovJan 20 - 31
Paxton+7.0
38.0%31.0%17.0%
CygnalJan 26 - 28
Paxton+0.6
25.7%22.4%25.1%
Emerson CollegeJan 10 - 12
Paxton+1.3
27.4%26.1%15.7%
Deep Root AnalyticsJan 5 - 11
Cornyn+3.0
26.0%29.0%19.0%
Harper PollingJan 5 - 7
Paxton+4.3
30.5%26.2%22.5%
Harper PollingJan 5 - 7
Paxton+10.3
43.7%33.4%
Harper PollingJan 5 - 7
Paxton+10.6
43.7%33.1%
Pulse Decision SicenceDec 14 - 17
Cornyn+0.0
38.0%38.0%16.0%
1892 PollingDec 4 - 4
Paxton+1.0
29.0%28.0%19.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesDec 1 - 4
Paxton+5.0
33.0%27.0%28.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesDec 1 - 4
Paxton+4.0
44.0%40.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesDec 1 - 4
Hunt+6.0
39.0%45.0%
co/efficientDec 1 - 3
Cornyn+1.0
27.0%28.0%19.0%
J.L. PartnersDec 1 - 3
Paxton+5.0
29.0%24.0%24.0%
J.L. PartnersDec 1 - 3
Paxton+14.0
45.0%31.0%
J.L. PartnersDec 1 - 3
Hunt+2.0
35.0%37.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 1 - 2
Paxton+10.0
32.0%22.0%22.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 1 - 2
Paxton+10.0
44.0%34.0%
Peak InsightsNov 20 - 25
Cornyn+2.0
33.0%35.0%18.0%
Stratus IntelligenceNov 21 - 22
Paxton+10.0
36.0%25.0%26.0%
Stratus IntelligenceNov 21 - 22
Paxton+17.0
51.0%34.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersNov 13 - 16
Cornyn+1.0
31.0%32.0%21.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersNov 13 - 16
Cornyn+4.0
41.0%45.0%
Stratus IntelligenceNov 4 - 6
Paxton+7.0
34.0%27.0%26.0%
Stratus IntelligenceNov 4 - 6
Paxton+8.0
46.0%38.0%
Harper PollingOct 28 - 30
Cornyn+0.5
25.0%25.5%23.6%
Harper PollingOct 28 - 30
Cornyn+0.5
25.0%25.5%23.6%
Harper PollingOct 28 - 30
Paxton+4.5
38.1%33.6%
Harper PollingOct 28 - 30
Paxton+3.0
38.5%35.5%
Hunt ResearchOct 6 - 10
Paxton+4.0
28.0%24.0%19.0%
Stratus IntelligenceOct 4 - 6
Paxton+3.0
34.0%31.0%24.0%
Stratus IntelligenceOct 4 - 6
Paxton+3.0
46.0%43.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
Paxton+1.0
34.0%33.0%22.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
Cornyn+1.0
43.0%44.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
Paxton+15.0
50.0%35.0%
Deep Root AnalyticsSep 22 - 28
Cornyn+5.0
28.0%33.0%21.0%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchSep 17 - 24
Paxton+2.0
31.0%29.0%14.0%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchSep 17 - 24
Cornyn+2.0
37.0%39.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersSep 20 - 22
Cornyn+1.0
31.0%32.0%17.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersSep 20 - 22
Cornyn+0.0
39.0%39.0%
Stratus IntelligenceSep 14 - 16
Paxton+10.0
38.0%28.0%23.0%
Stratus IntelligenceSep 14 - 16
Hunt+1.0
38.0%39.0%
Slingshot StrategiesAug 27 - 29
Cornyn+6.0
26.0%32.0%
co/efficientAug 25 - 27
Paxton+3.0
39.0%36.0%
Stratus IntelligenceAug 24 - 26
Paxton+10.0
38.0%28.0%23.0%
Stratus IntelligenceAug 24 - 26
Paxton+7.0
48.0%41.0%
Echelon InsightsAug 21 - 24
Paxton+5.0
42.0%37.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterAug 6 - 12
Paxton+5.0
35.0%30.0%22.0%
Emerson CollegeAug 11 - 12
Cornyn+0.8
28.7%29.5%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterAug 6 - 12
Paxton+5.0
44.0%39.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterAug 6 - 12
Paxton+5.0
38.0%33.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterAug 6 - 12
Paxton+7.0
43.0%36.0%
Stratus IntelligenceAug 4 - 6
Paxton+8.0
37.0%29.0%23.0%
Stratus IntelligenceAug 4 - 6
Paxton+3.0
45.0%42.0%
Stratus IntelligenceJul 16 - 18
Paxton+6.0
38.0%32.0%15.0%
Stratus IntelligenceJul 16 - 18
Paxton+11.0
47.0%36.0%
Stratus IntelligenceJun 22 - 23
Paxton+13.0
41.0%28.0%17.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceJun 17 - 22
Paxton+17.0
49.0%32.0%13.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceJun 17 - 22
Paxton+19.0
57.0%38.0%
Stratus IntelligenceJun 8 - 10
Paxton+19.0
47.0%28.0%12.0%
Stratus IntelligenceJun 8 - 10
Paxton+16.0
49.0%33.0%
Stratus IntelligenceJun 6 - 8
Paxton+16.0
49.0%33.0%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchMay 28 - Jun 7
Paxton+10.0
44.0%34.0%
UpONE InsightsMay 27 - 28
Paxton+22.0
54.0%32.0%
YouGovMay 9 - 19
Paxton+7.0
34.0%27.0%15.0%
YouGovMay 9 - 19
Paxton+9.0
43.0%34.0%
YouGovMay 9 - 19
Paxton+20.0
45.0%25.0%
Quantus InsightsMay 11 - 13
Paxton+8.0
46.0%38.0%16.0%
Quantus InsightsMay 11 - 13
Paxton+13.0
52.0%39.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Endorsers of Ken Paxton for Texas Republican Senate nominee?

Donald Trump

Public figure

Donald Trump endorsed Ken Paxton for the Texas Senate Republican primary.

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Donald Trump

Public figure

Donald Trump endorsed Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate runoff.

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Donald Trump

Public figure

Donald Trump endorsed Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate primary.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$7.6M
$5.7M
$3.8M
$1.9M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$7.6M
$2.3M
$5.3M
$309.3K

Source: FEC