Prediction Edge
Democrat
Katy Padilla Stout

Overview

Current roleAttorney

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationTexas

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationThe University of Texas at Austin (undergraduate)

Notable personal detailsKaty Padilla Stout is an attorney and former educator running for the U.S. House in Texas’ 23rd Congressional District. She has worked as an attorney ad litem representing children and families in Bexar County and rural South Texas. She has served in child-welfare-related community leadership and is a mother of four.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports a tax code that empowers the middle class and opposes tax cuts for billionaires; advocates historic public investments (including universal pre‑K) and policies to raise the minimum wage and expand family supports financed through government action.

Healthcare

Katy Padilla Stout supports making healthcare more affordable and accessible and has expressed support for universal healthcare and protecting/expanding programs such as the ACA, Medicaid, and subsidies. Her campaign emphasizes fighting for affordable healthcare for families in TX-23.

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Immigration & Border

Supports reasonable, humane immigration laws and secure borders while calling for bold, bipartisan congressional action to restore legal pathways and provide fair vetting and pathways to citizenship; opposes large border wall construction. Would deport unauthorized immigrants who have committed serious offenses after due process but supports more permissive asylum processing (a return to Biden-era catch-and-release practices).

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate states that women’s reproductive rights need to be protected, that decisions about health and medical procedures should remain between a woman and her doctor, and that the government has no business intervening in those decisions. The campaign also highlights harms from Texas restrictions that prevent women from receiving urgent medical procedures locally.

Climate & Energy

Supports science-based climate policy and rejoining the Paris Climate Accord; emphasizes protecting public lands such as Big Bend National Park. Advocates U.S. participation in international climate efforts and frames climate action as an urgent, fact-based priority for future generations.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports the Second Amendment while backing common-sense limits on firearms; explicitly endorses universal background checks, a ban on bump stocks, and functioning red-flag laws, and calls for increased mental-health and crisis intervention funding.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Katy Padilla Stout is the Democratic nominee in Texas’s 23rd Congressional District and is now set to face Republican Brandon Herrera in the general election. The race shifted after incumbent Rep. Tony Gonzales dropped his reelection bid amid an ethics investigation, clearing the way for Herrera to become the GOP nominee. Stout has criticized Herrera’s past comments, while Democrats are treating Gonzales’s exit and Herrera’s controversies as a potential opening to compete for the seat.

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Polls

Public Policy Polling
50%40%30%20%10%0%
40%
Katy Padilla Stout
K. Stout
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Public Policy PollingMar 11, 2026
40.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$238.4K
$178.8K
$119.2K
$59.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$238.4K
$145.8K
$92.4K
$6.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements