Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Julie Johnson

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age60 years old (May 2, 1966)

GenderFemale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., University of Texas at Austin (1987)

Notable personal detailsJulie Elizabeth Johnson is a U.S. Representative from Texas’s 32nd Congressional District, first sworn in on January 3, 2025. A Democrat and attorney, she previously served in the Texas House of Representatives (2019–2025). She earned a B.A. from the University of Texas at Austin and a J.D. from the University of Houston Law Center. She is married to Susan Moster and has two children.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports progressive tax policies that increase taxes on corporations and wealthy individuals to fund social programs and economic equity measures; favors targeted tax credits and investments (for example, credits for foster parents and restoring ACA tax credits) and raising the minimum wage. Opposes budgets that she says cut social programs while providing large tax breaks to the wealthy.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access and affordability within the healthcare system, has authored bipartisan Medicaid expansion legislation at the state level, defends the Affordable Care Act, and backs measures to lower prescription drug prices and address workforce shortages.

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Immigration & Border

Supports pathways to citizenship for Dreamers, TPS, and DED recipients and emphasizes due process and oversight of immigration enforcement while also backing measures to improve staffing and capacity at border agencies. Advocates transparency and limits on ICE practices and seeks reforms to make the immigration system faster and fairer, alongside proposals to ensure border agencies have sufficient personnel to process cases efficiently.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding access to abortion and broader reproductive healthcare, opposes laws that restrict or undermine reproductive rights, and advocates codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law. Commits to protecting patients and providers from prosecution and preserving insurance coverage for abortion care.

Climate & Energy

Supports taking bold action on climate while focusing on climate-smart agriculture, equitable water use, and equitable implementation of clean energy investments in the Inflation Reduction Act; favors significant clean-energy investment and incentives for farmers while accepting transitional measures.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports common-sense gun safety measures including universal background checks, banning assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, safe-storage requirements (e.g., Ethan’s Law), closing the gun-show/private-sale loophole, and additional reporting to prevent convicted domestic abusers from purchasing firearms. Has authored and co‑authored Texas gun-safety bills and earned endorsements from gun‑safety organizations. Holds low ratings from pro-gun organizations and voted against permitless carry and other pro-gun measures while in the Texas Legislature.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Julie Johnson is headed to a May 26 runoff against former Rep. Colin Allred for the Democratic nomination in Texas’ 33rd Congressional District after neither cleared 50% in the primary. Because the district is described as solidly Democratic, the runoff winner is widely seen as the likely general-election favorite. The race is drawing attention as part of a broader pattern of competitive primaries and shifting dynamics around incumbents in early contests.

history.house.gov+42

Polls

TX-33 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
30%
Julie Johnson
J. Johnson
Date (Start - End)SpreadJohnson
Polling Average
30.0%
GBAODec 14 - 17
30.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

TX-33 Democratic nominee?

Endorsers of Julie Johnson for TX-33 Democratic nominee?

Katherine Clark

Public figure

Katherine Clark endorsed Julie Johnson for Texas' 33rd Congressional District.

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Pete Aguilar

Public figure

Pete Aguilar endorsed Julie Johnson for Texas' 33rd Congressional District.

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New Democrat Coalition

Advocacy group

Colin Allred endorsed Julie Johnson in her earlier congressional race.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.3M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$563.0K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$2.1M
$230.9K
$1.8M
$76.7K

Cycle 2026

$2.3M
$280.7K
$2.2M
$129.5K

Source: FEC