Prediction Edge
Republican
Joseph Chaplik

Overview

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationArizona

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationBowling Green State University (attended)

Notable personal detailsJoseph Chaplik is a Republican politician and real-estate investor who served in the Arizona House of Representatives from January 11, 2021 to March 2, 2026, representing Legislative District 23 (2021–2023) and Legislative District 3 (2023–2026). He has been a candidate for U.S. House in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District (AZ-01) in the 2026 cycle and resigned his state House seat to focus on the congressional campaign. He has been affiliated with the Arizona Freedom Caucus and has a background in telecommunications leadership and investment real estate.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports significant tax reductions including abolishing the state income tax and reducing government spending; advocates limited government and pro-business policies. Has campaigned on keeping taxes low and has voted for large tax cuts in Arizona.

Healthcare

Joseph Chaplik has described support for "medical freedom" and said government should protect a woman’s right to receive the medical care she chooses; his campaign materials emphasize limited government and conservative priorities but do not set out a clear position on ACA expansion, a public option, Medicare for All, or specific market-based healthcare reforms. Chaplik has served on the Arizona House Health and Human Services Committee and sponsored legislation referencing consumer access to essentials (including medicine) but his materials do not provide a detailed healthcare policy platform

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Immigration & Border

Supports strong border enforcement measures including criminalizing unauthorized border crossings and construction of physical barriers; has sponsored state legislation to penalize illegal entry and voted to require state cooperation with immigration enforcement. Emphasizes stopping illegal immigration and enhancing border security through state-level measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports significant restrictions on abortion, voting for multiple bills that ban or limit abortion access (including a 15-week ban and limits on medication abortion) and stating abortion should be allowed only to protect the life of the mother.

Climate & Energy

Supports measures that protect or expand conventional energy options and restrict local bans on energy sources, and has voted for bills focused on utility and grid definitions and limits on geoengineering. Legislative record shows backing for state-level actions favoring energy industry protections and market/utility-focused approaches rather than aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Joseph Chaplik describes himself as a strong supporter of the Constitution and the Second Amendment and is endorsed by law‑enforcement groups; his legislative actions and statements emphasize backing police and public safety. Public materials and press releases show opposition to statements perceived as weakening use-of-force laws and emphasize protecting officers and constitutional gun rights. There is no clear evidence in these sources that he supports major new gun restrictions such as assault weapons bans or universal background checks.

Latest Insights

AZ-01 Republican nominee?

2d

That’s a fresh high for Joseph Chaplik in the Arizona-01 Republican nominee race, topping his previous high of 12%.

23%11%

Polls

AZ-01 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
26.5%
Joseph Chaplik
J. Chaplik
Date (Start - End)SpreadChaplik
Polling Average
26.5%
Advanced Targeting ResearchMay 12 - 13
29.0%
NextGen PollingApr 13 - 16
24.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$417.5K
$313.1K
$208.7K
$104.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$417.5K
$265.7K
$151.8K
$10.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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