Prediction Edge
Democrat
Jerry Demings

Overview

Current roleMayor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

GenderMale

LocationFlorida

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BackgroundPublic official

EducationJones High School (Orlando, Florida)

Notable personal detailsJerry L. Demings is an American public official and former law-enforcement leader who has served as Mayor of Orange County, Florida since December 4, 2018. He previously served as Orlando’s first African American police chief and later as Orange County sheriff. He earned a bachelor’s degree in finance from Florida State University and an MBA from Orlando College, and also completed FBI executive training programs and studied at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports using government revenue and targeted tax policies to fund public investments like affordable housing, infrastructure, and veteran hiring incentives while opposing proposals to eliminate property taxes; has advocated for a local 1-cent sales surtax for transportation and proposes state tax credits to encourage veteran employment.

Healthcare

The candidate supports expanding Medicaid to provide affordable coverage for Floridians and plans to hold insurance companies accountable to lower premiums and strengthen hospitals and clinics.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes lawful immigration while resisting expanded local enforcement responsibilities for federal immigration actions and has criticized state pressure to adopt broader ICE transport/enforcement measures; he ultimately signed a modified 287(g) addendum under protest citing legal pressure and concerns about staffing and cost reimbursement. His statements indicate support for immigration law enforcement as a federal responsibility and concern for humanitarian/operational impacts at the local level.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding renewable energy (including solar) and energy storage, modernizing building codes for efficiency, and investments to lower utility costs. Proposes protections for water resources, upgrades to wastewater systems, increased wetlands preservation, and a permanent ban on offshore drilling. Emphasizes clean, affordable in-state energy production and holding polluters accountable to reduce harmful runoff and algal blooms.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded gun “guardrails,” including universal background checks and limits on open carry, and has pursued local efforts to reduce gun violence such as creating a community safety task force and funding youth violence-prevention programs.

Polls

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
20.2%
27.7%
Jerry Demings
J. Demings
David Jolly
D. Jolly
Date (Start - End)SpreadDemingsJolly
Polling Average
Jolly+7.5
20.2%27.7%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16
Jolly+15.0
27.0%42.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Jolly+10.6
10.1%20.7%
Targoz Market ResearchFeb 13 - 16
Jolly+8.0
23.0%31.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyJan 8 - 13
Jolly+4.0
19.0%23.0%
Public Policy PollingDec 2 - 3
Jolly+0.0
22.0%22.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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