CA-23 primary: first place
6dJay Obernolte is now leading the CA-23 primary: first place with 99% odds and a 0.9-point lead.
99%
Republican
Incumbent
Incumbent
Jay Obernolte
RepublicanIncumbent
IncumbentJay Obernolte
CA-23 primary: first place
$351.00
JUN 6, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Overview
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
LocationCalifornia
SourcesShowHide
uschamber.comobernolte.house.govj.futurefacts.votesmart.iojustfacts.votesmart.orgen.wikipedia.orgsbaprolife.orgelectjay.comcongress.govclerk.house.govvotesmart.orgontheissues.orgpressherald.comvoteview.comreddit.comfoxbusiness.comamericanrenewalbook.comtaxfoundation.orges.wikipedia.orgstatic.votesmart.orgstatic.politico.comhistory.house.govnaturalresources.house.govfong.house.govdemocrats-science.house.govlieu.house.govrepublicans-science.house.govcha.house.govfec.govhouse.govziplook.house.govdirectory.house.govgovinfo.gov
Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports pro-growth business tax provisions and extending elements of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, advocates reducing government spending and instituting a balanced-budget amendment, and promotes policies intended to lower taxes and regulatory burdens for small businesses.
Healthcare
Supports patient-centered, choice-focused and fiscally responsible health policy with increased access for rural communities and targeted Medicaid reforms rather than large federal expansions. Sponsors bipartisan bills addressing specific healthcare issues (organ donation, suicide lifeline cybersecurity) and has voted for legislation described as protecting Medicaid program rules.
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Immigration & Border
Supports securing the southern border and stopping illegal immigration while endorsing legal immigration pathways that follow U.S. law. Has pressed for fuller use of ICE detention capacity and participated in congressional briefings and facility visits focused on border security and enforcement.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Opposes federal protections for abortion access and holds positions aligned with pro-life advocacy groups; has voted against measures expanding abortion rights and for legislation favored by anti-abortion organizations. Evidence of his voting record and high ratings from pro-life groups indicate a strongly anti‑abortion stance.
Climate & Energy
Supports market-driven energy approaches, emphasizes nuclear power and energy reliability, and has opposed certain California low‑carbon regulations that he says raise fuel costs. Has participated in conservative climate initiatives that promote conservative solutions rather than Green New Deal–style mandates. Positions favor energy independence and incremental/technology-focused responses over aggressive emissions mandates.
Public Safety & Guns
The candidate opposes expansion of federal background-check requirements for gun purchases and has voted against bills to expand background checks. The candidate generally supports Second Amendment rights and opposes new federal gun restrictions.
Latest Insights
Polls
CA-23 primary: first place
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
48%
5%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Total raisedCash on hand
$1.5M
$1.1M
$766.5K
$383.2K
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$1.1M
$370.2K
$759.9K
$31.7K
Cycle 2024
$1.5M
$997.8K
$905.2K
$37.7K
Cycle 2026
$1.2M
$1.5M
$668.1K
$39.3K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
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