Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Jake Ellzey

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age56 years old (Jan 24, 1970)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUnited States Naval Academy (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsJohn Kevin "Jake" Ellzey Sr. is a U.S. Representative for Texas’s 6th Congressional District, first elected in a 2021 special election. A graduate of the U.S. Naval Academy, he served about 20 years in the U.S. Navy as a helicopter and fighter pilot and later served as Air Boss aboard the USS Ronald Reagan. After military service, he worked as a military contractor, small business owner, and commercial airline pilot, and served on the Texas Veterans Commission and briefly in the Texas House before entering Congress.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports limiting tax increases and reducing regulatory/IRS burdens on families and small businesses, and advocates cutting wasteful government spending. Has cosponsored legislation to restrict IRS enforcement funding and opposed proposals he describes as increasing taxes on farmers and businesses.

Healthcare

Jake Ellzey supports targeted federal investments to strengthen rural and veterans’ health care access and has co-sponsored legislation to improve VA community care. His public statements emphasize improving access and innovation for rural hospitals rather than endorsing broad federal expansions like Medicare for All. His voting record includes sponsorship/co-sponsorship of veterans/health access measures and votes opposing use of QALYs in federal programs, consistent with a Republican approach favoring targeted funding and limits on certain federal policy mechanisms.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures including ending “catch and release,” increased border funding and construction of barriers, and reimbursement to Texas for state border security costs. Advocates tougher asylum/enforcement provisions while framing immigration as a law-and-order and national-security issue.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports legal personhood beginning at conception and has cosponsored federal legislation (the Life at Conception Act) that would extend constitutional protections to unborn children. He has stated that he believes life begins at conception and has backed measures that would significantly restrict abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Supports American energy independence with expanded oil, gas, and pipeline development and has cosponsored bills to increase fossil fuel production and exports. Has backed reducing federal funding for climate change programs and emphasized prioritizing domestic energy production and national security over climate initiatives. Positions favor market-driven energy leadership and transitional fossil fuel use rather than aggressive emissions regulations or Green New Deal–style policies.

Endorsements

TX-06 Republican nominee?

Endorsers of Jake Ellzey for TX-06 Republican nominee?

John Cornyn

Political organization

John Cornyn endorsed Jake Ellzey for Cornyn’s 2026 U.S. Senate re-election campaign.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$7.2M
$5.4M
$3.6M
$1.8M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$7.2M
$597.7K
$6.6M
$273.4K

Cycle 2024

$6.9M
$1.1M
$6.4M
$266.7K

Cycle 2026

$3.7M
$2.1M
$2.7M
$180.0K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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