Prediction Edge
Democrat
Eric Swalwell

Eric Swalwell

Overview

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age45 years old (Nov 16, 1980)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., University of Maryland, College Park (2003)

Notable personal detailsEric Michael Swalwell is an American lawyer and politician who has represented California in the U.S. House of Representatives since January 3, 2013 (CA-15 from 2013–2023; CA-14 from 2023–present). He previously served on the Dublin City Council (2010–2013) and worked as a prosecutor in the Alameda County District Attorney’s Office, including leading its Hate Crimes Unit. He earned a B.A. from the University of Maryland, College Park and a J.D. from the University of Maryland School of Law. Swalwell is a candidate for governor of California in 2026.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports raising taxes on the wealthy and enforcing corporate tax fairness while opposing tax cuts that primarily benefit the top 1%; backs measures to fund IRS enforcement and a corporate minimum tax to ensure large corporations and high earners pay more. Also supports targeted economic relief and tax credits for workers and families.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to care through strengthening the Affordable Care Act and a government-run public option (described as "Medicare for All who want it") while preserving private insurance choices. Advocates funding research and protections for reproductive and preventive care.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform including a pathway to earned citizenship for undocumented immigrants and protections for Dreamers and other vulnerable groups while also endorsing measures to secure the border and remove undocumented immigrants who commit serious crimes. Has cosponsored the U.S. Citizenship Act and the American Dream and Promise Act and has sponsored legislation to increase accountability for ICE and CBP agents.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion access as healthcare, has cosponsored legislation to codify Roe v. Wade protections, and opposes federal and state abortion bans. Advocates repealing the Hyde Amendment and expanding reproductive freedom and access to abortion services and contraception.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive climate action including the Green New Deal, rejoining the Paris Agreement, phasing away from fossil fuels, banning fracking and oil drilling, and large investments in clean energy and energy storage. Has voted for major federal climate legislation (Inflation Reduction Act) and introduced legislation to strengthen disaster preparedness and climate resilience. Emphasizes climate as a national security and public-health priority and promotes clean-energy innovation and critical material supply chains.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports banning and a federal buyback of semiautomatic assault weapons, universal/expanded background checks, removal of industry liability protections, mandatory licensing/limits on high-capacity magazines, and other regulatory steps to reduce gun violence. Advocates additional investments in community violence prevention, gun-violence research, and regulation of manufacturers.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Eric Swalwell is in the news as a leading contender in early polling for California’s gubernatorial primary, with several surveys placing him at or near the top of a tight field where many voters are still undecided. The race is competitive under a top-two primary system, with Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer also polling strongly. Swalwell is also facing a public challenge to his eligibility, after Steyer’s campaign questioned his residency and urged the California Secretary of State to enforce residency rules; Swalwell’s campaign disputes the claim as politically motivated.

swalwell.house.gov+39

Polls

Polling Average
20%15%10%5%0%
11.1%
17.3%
14.4%
11.1%
10.7%
6.9%
Eric Swalwell
E. Swalwell
Steve Hilton
S. Hilton
Chad Bianco
C. Bianco
Tom Steyer
T. Steyer
Katie Porter
K. Porter
Xavier Becerra
X. Becerra
Matt Mahan
M. Mahan
Antonio Villaraigosa
A. Villaraigosa
Date (Start - End)SpreadSwalwellHiltonBiancoSteyerPorterBecerraMahanVillaraigosa
Polling Average
Hilton+6.2
11.1%17.3%14.4%11.1%10.7%6.9%4.1%3.3%
EvitarusMay 14 - 16
Hilton+22.0
0.0%22.0%10.0%15.0%7.0%21.0%4.0%1.0%
EvitarusApr 30 - May 2
Hilton+17.0
1.0%18.0%14.0%12.0%8.0%18.0%7.0%2.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 23 - 27
Becerra+24.0
0.0%23.0%13.0%15.0%10.0%24.0%6.0%2.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 14 - 18
Hilton+20.0
0.0%20.0%14.0%15.0%13.0%15.0%6.0%3.0%
Kreate StrategiesApr 12 - 18
Hilton+15.0
3.0%18.0%14.0%16.0%8.0%10.0%4.0%1.0%
EvitarusApr 15 - 17
Hilton+15.0
1.0%16.0%14.0%13.0%10.0%13.0%5.0%2.0%
SurveyUSAApr 8 - 10
Steyer+12.0
9.0%18.0%8.0%21.0%8.0%4.0%4.0%5.0%
David Binder ResearchApr 1 - 6
Hilton+4.0
18.0%22.0%13.0%12.0%11.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 1 - 6
Hilton+4.0
18.0%22.0%13.0%12.0%11.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
EvitarusMar 31 - Apr 5
Bianco+2.0
12.0%14.0%14.0%11.0%7.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMar 26 - Apr 3
Swalwell+1.0
18.0%17.0%14.0%14.0%10.0%5.0%5.0%5.0%
Kreate StrategiesMar 23 - 29
Hilton+6.0
13.0%19.0%10.0%13.0%8.0%2.0%4.0%2.0%
Echelon InsightsMar 12 - 17
Hilton+5.0
15.0%20.0%14.0%13.0%10.0%3.0%4.0%3.0%
EvitarusMar 12 - 17
Hilton+6.0
10.0%16.0%14.0%10.0%10.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMar 9 - 15
Hilton+4.0
13.0%17.0%16.0%10.0%13.0%5.0%4.0%4.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9
Swalwell+4.0
17.3%13.3%11.4%10.9%8.4%3.0%3.2%3.2%
University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/TrueDotFeb 25 - Mar 3
Hilton+8.0
11.0%19.0%11.0%13.0%11.0%5.0%3.0%4.0%
Global Strategy GroupFeb 27 - Mar 2
Hilton+9.0
11.0%20.0%15.0%16.0%13.0%5.0%3.0%2.0%
Independent Voter ProjectFeb 13 - 20
Bianco+5.4
17.9%14.9%23.3%8.0%12.4%3.4%2.1%2.8%
Emerson CollegeFeb 13 - 14
Hilton+3.0
14.1%17.1%13.5%8.8%9.8%3.5%3.4%2.8%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaFeb 3 - 11
Hilton+3.0
11.0%14.0%12.0%10.0%13.0%5.0%3.0%5.0%
Tavern ResearchFeb 2 - 5
Bianco+10.0
10.0%12.0%20.0%9.0%9.0%6.0%2.0%3.0%
EMC ResearchJan 29 - Feb 4
Bianco+3.0
18.0%17.0%21.0%9.0%12.0%6.0%5.0%3.0%
Global Strategy GroupJan 29 - Feb 3
Bianco+4.0
14.0%18.0%18.0%10.0%12.0%4.0%3.0%3.0%
J. Wallin Opinion ResearchJan 29 - Feb 1
Hilton+5.0
9.0%14.0%11.0%12.0%8.0%6.0%4.0%7.0%
RBI Strategies & ResearchJan 25 - 29
Hilton+2.0
14.0%16.0%15.0%8.0%13.0%3.0%
Tulchin ResearchJan 22 - 28
Hilton+1.0
14.0%15.0%15.0%10.0%13.0%5.0%7.0%
Public Policy PollingJan 20 - 21
Bianco+7.0
11.0%17.0%18.0%8.0%14.0%6.0%5.0%2.0%
David Binder ResearchJan 17 - 20
Bianco+6.0
11.0%14.0%17.0%8.0%11.0%5.0%3.0%
FM3 ResearchNov 30 - Dec 7
Hilton+1.0
17.0%18.0%17.0%6.0%13.0%3.0%3.0%
Emerson CollegeDec 1 - 2
Bianco+1.8
11.5%11.5%13.3%4.3%11.0%3.5%5.0%
EMC ResearchOct 22 - 26
Hilton+9.0
11.0%20.0%14.0%3.0%16.0%9.0%5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

California Governor primary: 1st place

Endorsers of Eric Swalwell for California Governor primary: 1st place

Grijalva

Elected official

Grijalva endorsed Eric Swalwell for California governor, later retracting the endorsement.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.1M
$3.1M
$2.1M
$1.0M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$3.9M
$628.6K
$3.8M
$159.1K

Cycle 2024

$4.1M
$300.0K
$4.5M
$186.3K

Cycle 2026

$1.7M
$288.6K
$1.7M
$114.9K

Source: FEC