Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Derek Tran

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationCalifornia

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BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationBentley University — B.S. Economics-Finance

Notable personal detailsDerek Tran is a Democratic member of the U.S. House representing California’s 45th Congressional District, sworn in on 2025-01-03. He is a U.S. Army Reserve veteran and previously worked as an attorney focused on consumer and worker issues. He earned a B.S. in Economics-Finance from Bentley University and a J.D. from Glendale University College of Law, and he is a small business owner who co-owns an independent pharmacy with his wife.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports tax cuts for middle-class families and small businesses and emphasizes policies to boost small-business growth and job creation. He combines pro-worker policies (minimum-wage increases, workers’ rights) with calls to reduce tax burdens on households and small businesses.

Healthcare

Supports treating healthcare as a right and expanding public programs (including expanding Medicare) to increase coverage and bring down costs; advocates reining in insurance and pharmaceutical companies and protecting access to reproductive and preventive health services.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform that preserves asylum access and creates pathways to citizenship for DREAMers, farmworkers, and TPS holders while also prioritizing border security improvements such as technology and better border personnel training. Opposes mass deportations and voted against legislation seen as extreme restrictionist measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying and protecting federal abortion rights and describes himself as pro-choice, defending access to abortion and funding for reproductive health services including Planned Parenthood. Has voted and campaigned to oppose measures that would restrict access to abortion and to protect providers and patients' ability to obtain care.

Climate & Energy

Supports stronger environmental regulations, federal investment in transportation and clean energy jobs, and holding oil and gas companies accountable while promoting sustainable energy production.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong gun safety measures including universal background checks and a ban on assault weapons, and frames gun violence prevention as a priority for community safety. Opposes powerful gun-lobby influence and vows to push federal legislation to reduce gun violence.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$6.5M
$4.9M
$3.3M
$1.6M
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$6.5M
$327.3K
$6.2M
$257.8K

Cycle 2026

$4.2M
$2.8M
$1.8M
$104.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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