Prediction Edge

Overview

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age48 years old (Aug 27, 1977)

GenderMale

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LocationIllinois

BackgroundPolitician

EducationHarvard University (BA)

Notable personal detailsDaniel Kálmán Biss is an American mathematician and politician who has served as mayor of Evanston, Illinois since May 10, 2021. He previously served in the Illinois House of Representatives and Illinois Senate, and worked as a mathematics professor at the University of Chicago. He has been a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Illinois’ 9th District in the 2026 cycle.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports replacing Illinois' flat income tax with a graduated (progressive) income tax, advocates additional taxes on high-end financial transactions and taxing wealthier retirement income while pursuing property-tax reform to reduce burdens on middle- and working-class homeowners.

Healthcare

Supports a national single-payer health system such as Medicare for All and advocates for universal coverage. Campaign materials and past statements commit to pursuing single-payer policies and protecting coverage for people with pre-existing conditions.

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Immigration & Border

Supports limits on federal immigration enforcement at the local/state level and policies to protect immigrant communities; has condemned ICE/Border Patrol raids in Evanston and directed local actions to investigate and shield residents. Has previously co‑sponsored state legislation (the TRUST Act) to restrict local cooperation with federal immigration enforcement and to create protected spaces for immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports legal access to abortion and has a record of championing and bolstering abortion rights in Illinois; positions and endorsements describe him as a pro-choice, progressive defender of reproductive access.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive federal action to confront the climate crisis, including investing in clean energy, holding polluters accountable, and advancing building- and community-level measures to reduce emissions. Emphasizes transitioning to clean energy while prioritizing jobs, affordability, and public health.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports broad, progressive gun-safety measures including repeal of the Second Amendment, universal background checks, a federal assault-weapons ban and limits on high-capacity magazines, expanded red-flag laws, safe-storage requirements, and ending legal immunity for the gun industry.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Daniel Biss is running in the crowded Democratic primary for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District to replace retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky, with the March 17, 2026 primary approaching. He has drawn attention as a leading contender and for refusing to accept donations from AIPAC, an issue that has become a flashpoint in the race. The campaign debate has also focused on affordability, including the cost of health care and housing.

fec.gov+45

Polls

IL-09 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
23.5%
15.4%
13.3%
7.1%
Daniel Biss
D. Biss
Kat Abughazaleh
K. Abughazaleh
Laura Fine
L. Fine
Mike Simmons
M. Simmons
Bushra Amiwala
B. Amiwala
Phil Andrew
P. Andrew
Hoan Huynh
H. Huynh
Sam Polan
S. Polan
Nick Pyati
N. Pyati
Date (Start - End)SpreadBissAbughazalehFineSimmonsAmiwalaAndrewHuynhPolanPyati
Polling Average
Biss+8.1
23.5%15.4%13.3%7.1%4.5%3.5%2.8%0.4%0.0%
Public Policy PollingMar 9 - 10
Biss+4.0
24.0%20.0%14.0%10.0%6.0%7.0%1.0%0.0%0.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 20 - 21
Biss+7.0
24.0%17.0%16.0%6.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
MoliticoFeb 15 - 20
Biss+17.1
31.0%12.9%13.9%8.2%6.5%3.7%1.6%0.1%
Impact ResearchFeb 5 - 10
Biss+13.0
31.0%18.0%18.0%7.0%4.0%7.0%3.0%
GBAOJan 26 - 29
Biss+0.0
21.0%14.0%21.0%7.0%4.0%4.0%2.0%
GBAONov 9 - 15
Biss+6.0
20.0%14.0%13.0%10.0%5.0%1.0%4.0%
Impact ResearchNov 4 - 9
Biss+14.0
31.0%17.0%10.0%6.0%3.0%3.0%4.0%
Data for ProgressOct 29 - Nov 3
Abughazaleh+0.0
18.0%18.0%10.0%6.0%6.0%1.0%5.0%1.0%
MDW CommunicationsOct 14 - 16
Biss+5.0
18.0%13.0%9.0%
MDW CommunicationsJun 12 - 15
Biss+7.0
17.0%10.0%8.0%4.0%2.0%0.0%3.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

IL-09 Democratic nominee?

Endorsers of Daniel Biss for IL-09 Democratic nominee?

Congressional Progressive Caucus

Advocacy group

Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsed Daniel Biss in the 2026 Illinois 9th District primary.

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AIPAC

Public endorsement

AIPAC endorsed Daniel Biss in the 2026 Illinois 9th District Democratic primary.

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Jan Schakowsky

Public figure

Jan Schakowsky endorsed Daniel Biss for Illinois's 9th Congressional District.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.8M
$2.1M
$1.4M
$707.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.8M
$267.2K
$2.6M
$170.9K

Source: FEC