Prediction Edge
Democrat
Dan Helmer

Overview

Current roleState Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age44 years old (Sep 27, 1981)

GenderMale

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LocationVirginia

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUnited States Military Academy (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsDaniel Isaac “Dan” Helmer is a Democratic member of the Virginia House of Delegates, first taking office in January 2020 and representing the 10th district after redistricting. He is a United States Military Academy graduate and earned an MPhil at the University of Oxford. Helmer served in the U.S. Army Reserve, including deployments to Iraq, Afghanistan, and South Korea, and has held the rank of lieutenant colonel. He is also a small business owner and lives in Fairfax County with his wife and two sons.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Dan Helmer supports targeted tax relief measures (for example, income-tax subtractions for certain veterans) and emphasizes policies to boost economic growth, lower costs for families, and protect workers’ rights; he does not present a clearly articulated broad federal/state tax-rate platform on his campaign site.

Healthcare

Supports expanding the Affordable Care Act and adding a public option (an expansion of Medicare) to increase access and affordability; has backed state-level measures increasing price transparency for hospitals.

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Immigration & Border

Supports limiting local cooperation with federal immigration enforcement and has made immigrant rights a legislative priority; advocates policies that protect immigrants from certain enforcement actions while pursuing reform-oriented approaches. Public statements and legislative actions emphasize restricting local law-enforcement cooperation with ICE and safeguarding immigrant communities.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting and expanding access to abortion and reproductive health care and has advocated for codifying reproductive rights in law; has sponsored/co-patroned legislation and campaigned on defending reproductive freedom.

Climate & Energy

Supports a transition to clean energy and has backed legislation and votes to expand renewable energy in Virginia, including authorization of offshore wind capacity and renewable tax credits. Campaign materials list support for 100% clean energy as a priority.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports comprehensive gun safety measures including an assault‑weapons (‘‘assault firearm’’) ban, universal/background check expansions, limits on high‑capacity magazines, and extreme‑risk (red flag) laws. Has sponsored legislation (HB217) to ban certain semi‑automatic ‘‘assault firearms’’ and has listed closing loopholes and passing red flag measures among priorities.

Polls

Change Research
6%4%2%0%
Dan Helmer
D. Helmer
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Change ResearchFeb 26, 2026
4.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$849.3K
$636.9K
$424.6K
$212.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$849.3K
$335.6K
$513.6K
$28.5K

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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