Prediction Edge
Republican
Carey Baker

Overview

Current roleState Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age63 years old (Mar 16, 1963)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundCandidate for U.S. House (FL-11)

EducationLake-Sumter Community College (attended; 1981–1982)

Notable personal detailsCarey Baker is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida’s 11th Congressional District in 2026. He previously served in the Florida House of Representatives (District 25) and the Florida Senate (District 20). Baker is a U.S. Army veteran who served in the Florida Army National Guard and deployed to Iraq. He has also worked as a small business owner and served as Lake County (Florida) property appraiser.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate has supported tax reduction measures, including participation in state legislation that enacted large property tax cuts and sponsoring sales tax holiday measures. Positions emphasize lowering or exempting certain taxes rather than expanding tax burdens or redistribution.

Healthcare

Carey Baker sponsored Florida Senate Joint Resolution SJR 72 in 2010 proposing a constitutional amendment that would prohibit laws or rules from compelling any person, employer, or health care provider to participate in any health care system and would protect the right to pay directly for lawful health care and to purchase private health insurance. The measure sought to exempt persons and providers from penalties or fines for paying or accepting direct payment and to preserve private-market choices for health coverage.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Carey Baker has identified as pro‑life and has been described as strongly pro‑life during his time in the Florida Legislature and later public roles. Public reporting and local political coverage tie him to pro‑life positions and Republican pro‑restriction stances on abortion.

Climate & Energy

Has sponsored and supported state-level energy-efficiency legislation and participated in committees related to communications, public utilities, and transportation. Record shows involvement in creating an energy-efficient appliance rebate program and oversight roles connected to energy policy, indicating support for clean-energy incentives and efficiency measures while not endorsing radical fossil-fuel phaseouts.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports permitless/open carry and reduced permitting requirements for carrying firearms, and has argued that visible firearms deter crime and that concealed-carry permit costs and requirements are unnecessary. Owns a gun shop and has a record of opposing additional permitting/background-check requirements for carry.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$167.6K
$125.7K
$83.8K
$41.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$167.6K
$105.2K
$62.4K
$3.5K

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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