Prediction Edge
Democrat
Cait Conley

Overview

Current rolePolitical candidate

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationNew York

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BackgroundPolitical candidate

Notable personal detailsCait Conley is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New York’s 17th Congressional District. She is a 2026 challenger candidate registered with the Federal Election Commission. She has been described in media coverage as an Army veteran and national security professional and has participated in NY-17 Democratic candidate forums ahead of the June 23, 2026 primary.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports federal investments to lower costs for families (infrastructure, housing, education, healthcare) and defends Medicaid/Medicare funding while opposing policies she says would raise costs for families. Endorses targeted federal funding and tax credits to support affordable housing and infrastructure rather than cuts to social programs.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and expanding the Affordable Care Act and Medicaid, expanding Medicare benefits (vision, dental, hearing), lowering prescription costs (capping insulin, allowing Medicare negotiation), and protecting reproductive healthcare including codifying Roe v. Wade. Emphasizes defending funding for hospitals, investing in veterans’ care, and opposing cuts to Medicaid and Medicare.

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Immigration & Border

Cait Conley’s campaign materials state she will work to “fix our broken immigration system” and prioritize a “safe and secure America,” but provide no detailed policy prescriptions on asylum, enforcement, or pathways to legal status. Public-facing statements on her site are general and do not clearly place her in an enforcement-first or reform/regularization policy camp.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting reproductive freedom by codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law and ensuring access to abortion, contraception, and IVF; supports federal funding for Planned Parenthood and repeal of federal restrictions that cut Medicaid reimbursements to Planned Parenthood.

Climate & Energy

Supports treating climate change as a national security crisis and prioritizes clean energy investments (solar, wind, hydro, geothermal), grid modernization, flood mitigation, and federal funding for resilience and infrastructure updates to lower utility bills and create jobs. Advocates holding utilities accountable and removing regulatory barriers to move alternative energy projects forward. Does not explicitly endorse Green New Deal–style phasing out of fossil fuels in the cited materials.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal background checks and red flag laws, a ban on assault weapons, crackdowns on ghost guns, and funding for law enforcement as well as suicide prevention and community violence intervention programs.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Cait Conley is emerging as a top contender in the Democratic primary for New York’s 17th Congressional District, running in a tight race with Beth Davidson and Peter Chatzky as a large share of voters remain undecided. She is also under scrutiny over past work for defense contractors tied to AI border surveillance, including earning more than $80,000 from Primer AI and Hidden Level. Conley is leaning into her national security and military background and says she wants to shape AI policy to help middle-class New Yorkers.

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Polls

NY-17 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
19.8%
22%
10%
6%
Cait Conley
C. Conley
Beth Davidson
B. Davidson
Peter Chatzky
P. Chatzky
Effie Phillips-Staley
E. Phillips-Staley
Mike Sacks
M. Sacks
John Cappello
J. Cappello
Date (Start - End)SpreadConleyDavidsonChatzkyPhillips-StaleySacksCappello
Polling Average
Davidson+2.3
19.8%22.0%10.0%6.0%2.3%1.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 7 - 12
Conley+7.0
29.0%22.0%6.0%4.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressApr 17 - 24
Davidson+11.0
15.0%26.0%8.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 24 - 26
Davidson+6.0
17.0%23.0%8.0%5.0%1.0%1.0%
Lake Research PartnersJan 27 - Feb 1
Conley+1.0
18.0%17.0%12.0%5.0%2.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.6M
$2.0M
$1.3M
$661.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.6M
$1.5M
$1.1M
$74.0K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements