Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Brett Guthrie

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age62 years old (Feb 18, 1964)

GenderMale

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LocationKentucky

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationB.S., United States Military Academy (West Point), 1987

Notable personal detailsSteven Brett Guthrie is a U.S. Representative for Kentucky’s 2nd congressional district, first elected in 2008 and serving since January 3, 2009. He previously served in the Kentucky Senate (1999–2008) and worked as a business executive at a Bowling Green-based manufacturing company. He served in the U.S. Army and later in the U.S. Army Reserve. He graduated from the U.S. Military Academy at West Point and earned a master’s degree from Yale University.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports extending and preserving the Trump-era tax cuts and has praised recent House budget measures as providing historic tax relief; has backed tax-cutting legislation and proposals that reduce federal spending on programs such as Medicaid in order to finance tax reductions. Positions reflect favoring tax cuts and spending limits over expanding taxes or large new social spending programs.

Healthcare

Supports repeal/replacement of the Affordable Care Act and has promoted limiting federal Medicaid spending through measures such as per-capita caps and other spending restraints. Has framed Medicaid spending growth as a state-budget problem and led Republican efforts to reduce federal Medicaid obligations while pursuing alternatives to the ACA expansion.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and construction of a southern border wall, increased Border Patrol staffing, and reinstating stricter migration policies while criticizing the Biden administration’s border policies as a crisis. Endorses legislative and appropriations measures to expand enforcement and border security resources.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports overturning Roe v. Wade and identifies as pro-life; has said he will push to prohibit federal taxpayer dollars from funding abortions and has supported state-level restrictions while acknowledging narrow exceptions such as to save the life of the mother and (in some statements) rape/incest. Voting record and ratings indicate consistent support for abortion restrictions.

Climate & Energy

Supports U.S. energy dominance and an "all-of-the-above" approach that emphasizes fossil fuel production and grid reliability while opposing or rolling back what he describes as burdensome EPA regulations and some Biden-era climate funding. Advocates reducing certain clean-energy program spending and favors market- and reliability-focused energy policies rather than aggressive emissions mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports enforcing existing gun laws, strengthening background checks, and focusing on mental-health and school safety (including school resource officers); has supported a ban on bump stocks and raising the minimum purchase age in some contexts but does not endorse broad new bans on military-style rifles. Generally emphasizes keeping guns out of the hands of prohibited persons rather than wide new restrictions on gun ownership.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$4.2M
$3.1M
$2.1M
$1.0M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.3M
$1.9M
$2.3M
$93.8K

Cycle 2024

$3.8M
$366.2K
$5.5M
$227.6K

Cycle 2026

$4.2M
$1.7M
$2.9M
$181.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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