Prediction Edge
Democrat
Beto O'Rourke

Beto O'Rourke

Overview

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age53 years old (Sep 26, 1972)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundPolitician

EducationWoodberry Forest School (graduated 1991)

Notable personal detailsRobert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke is an American politician and former business owner from El Paso, Texas. He served on the El Paso City Council from 2005 to 2011 and represented Texas’s 16th congressional district in the U.S. House from 2013 to 2019. O’Rourke ran unsuccessfully for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Governor of Texas in 2022, and he previously ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reversing much of the 2017 tax cuts by raising the top individual rate and partially restoring the corporate rate, increasing capital gains and dividend taxation, and imposing new taxes such as a small financial transactions tax; proposes using higher taxes on the wealthy and corporations to fund expanded public investments (infrastructure, clean energy, social programs, and veteran benefits).

Healthcare

Supports universal coverage through expanding existing programs and a government-run public option (often called "Medicare for America" or "Medicare-X") while preserving private employer plans for those who want them; has said he does not support immediately replacing private insurance with a single-payer Medicare for All implementation. He has emphasized expanding Medicaid in non-expansion states and allowing buy-ins to Medicare as near-term steps.

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Immigration & Border

Supports a sweeping, humanitarian-focused rewrite of U.S. immigration law that includes an earned pathway to citizenship for roughly 11 million undocumented residents, protections and fast-tracks for Dreamers and TPS recipients, halting construction of the border wall, and reforms to the asylum system while increasing regional investments to address root causes of migration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports broad abortion access and has criticized federal and Texas restrictions on abortion; he has said he would fight to restore or protect the legal framework that existed under Roe v. Wade and has expressed trust in women and their doctors to make reproductive decisions. He has criticized the Hyde Amendment and stated he would seek to repeal Texas laws that restrict abortion. Specifics on gestational limits have not been consistently specified in public statements.

Climate & Energy

Supports ambitious climate action including a large federal investment plan to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, rejoining the Paris Agreement, and major spending to accelerate clean energy, infrastructure, and resilience for communities affected by climate impacts. Has proposed large-scale funding and policy changes to spur clean-technology investment and to end or reduce fossil-fuel subsidies.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong federal gun-safety measures including an assault-weapons ban with a mandatory buyback, universal background checks, a federal red-flag law, and additional restrictions such as limits on high-capacity magazines and tighter licensing/registration requirements for gun purchasers.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Beto O’Rourke is being mentioned as a point of comparison in Texas politics after state Rep. James Talarico won the Texas Democratic Senate primary, with coverage likening Talarico’s momentum to past Democratic figures like O’Rourke. The broader Texas Senate race is also drawing attention as Republicans head toward a Cornyn–Paxton runoff and debate whether Donald Trump should endorse a candidate, underscoring the tough statewide environment Democrats have faced in recent cycles.

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Polls

Texas Democratic Senate nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
39%
35.8%
24.4%
23.7%
Beto O'Rourke
B. O'Rourke
Jasmine Crockett
J. Crockett
Colin Allred
C. Allred
James Talarico
J. Talarico
Date (Start - End)SpreadO'RourkeCrockettAllredTalarico
Polling Average
O'Rourke+3.3
39.0%35.8%24.4%23.7%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
Crockett+6.0
25.0%31.0%13.0%25.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
O'Rourke+17.0
55.0%38.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
O'Rourke+15.0
54.0%39.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/Texas Southern University School of Public Affairs/YouGovSep 19 - Oct 1
Crockett+10.0
41.0%51.0%
Slingshot StrategiesAug 27 - 29
O'Rourke+1.0
27.0%26.0%13.0%7.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterAug 6 - 12
O'Rourke+20.0
58.0%38.0%
NRSCJul 4 - 7
Crockett+22.0
13.0%35.0%20.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising