Prediction Edge

Overview

Current roleJournalist

Political ideologyProgressive Independent

GenderMale

LocationNebraska

BackgroundJournalist

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EducationMacalester College — B.A. (Women’s, Gender, and Sexuality Studies; Political Science)

Notable personal detailsAustin Lawrence Ahlman is an independent candidate for U.S. House in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District in 2026. He is a journalist who has written about corporate power and politics, including work with The American Prospect and The Intercept. He is originally from Norfolk, Nebraska, and attended Macalester College, where he studied Women’s, Gender, and Sexuality Studies and Political Science. He lives in Norfolk with his husband, Noah.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports significant tax relief for low- and middle-income households while substantially increasing taxes and closing loopholes for billionaires and corporations; proposes expanding social programs (Medicare expansion, child tax credit, lifting Social Security payroll cap) and stronger enforcement against corporate market power that raises consumer prices.

Healthcare

Supports expanding Medicare incrementally until it covers all U.S. citizens, including adding dental, hearing, and vision and lowering the minimum eligibility age; supports capping prescription drug prices and breaking up hospital, insurer, and private equity concentration in healthcare.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing the border while criticizing corporate exploitation of immigrant labor and promises to ensure people seeking to become Americans have a fair chance to earn that status. Emphasizes both border security measures and fair opportunities for immigrants rather than maximal enforcement or mass deportation.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports personal freedom and choice over one’s body and defends individuals’ right to control their own bodies; positions indicate pro-choice views with an emphasis on personal liberty rather than detailing specific gestational-limit policy.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate identifies as a responsible gun owner and explicitly commits to defending the Second Amendment while also calling to fund local police rather than expanding federal law-enforcement spending. No platform language endorses new federal gun restrictions or specific progressive gun-safety measures.

Polls

Tavern Research
12%10%8%6%4%2%0%
9%
Austin Ahlman
A. Ahlman
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Tavern ResearchMay 19, 2026
9.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 19, 2026
36.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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