Prediction Edge
Democrat
Amy McGrath

Overview

Current roleU.S. Marine Corps officer (retired)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age51 years old (Jun 3, 1975)

GenderFemale

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LocationKentucky

BackgroundU.S. Marine Corps officer (retired)

EducationUnited States Naval Academy — B.S., Political Science (1997)

Notable personal detailsAmy McGrath is a retired U.S. Marine Corps lieutenant colonel, former F/A-18 pilot and weapons systems officer, and Democratic political candidate from Kentucky. She graduated from the United States Naval Academy in 1997 and later earned a master’s degree in international/global security from Johns Hopkins University. After military service including combat deployments, she served as a senior instructor in the Political Science Department at the U.S. Naval Academy and later ran for Congress (2018) and U.S. Senate (2020, 2026) in Kentucky.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports addressing rising costs for families, protecting Medicaid and rural hospitals, and investing in infrastructure and jobs; she opposed the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and favors preserving tax relief for the middle class while criticizing large corporate gains and hidden taxes such as tariffs.

Healthcare

Supports preserving and improving the Affordable Care Act, favors a public option and measures to expand access (including allowing older adults to buy into Medicare), and opposes Medicare for All and abolishing private insurance.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive immigration reform with secure borders enforced humanely; opposes building a full border wall and does not support abolishing ICE. Emphasizes protecting asylum-seekers and humane treatment while backing resources for border enforcement and immigration courts rather than large physical barriers.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports reproductive health care as health care and believes abortion decisions should be made by women and their doctors rather than politicians; defends access to contraception and fertility treatments. Has said she is pro‑choice but opposes late‑term abortions except to protect the life of the mother.

Climate & Energy

Supports investing in clean energy and strengthening Kentucky’s role in energy manufacturing while pursuing an “all-of-the-above” approach that keeps reliable, affordable power during a transition away from coal. Frames climate change as a security and economic issue and rejects the Green New Deal while advocating targeted clean-energy investment and support for coal communities during transition.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal/expanded background checks, closing loopholes that allow domestic abusers and violent offenders to access firearms, and investments in mental-health and school-based supports; rejects arming teachers and emphasizes respecting responsible gun ownership. Does not support broadly taking guns from law-abiding citizens and has said she is not in favor of an assault-weapons ban.

Polls

Kentucky Democratic Senate nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
21.1%
33.8%
Amy McGrath
A. McGrath
Charles Booker
C. Booker
Pamela Stevenson
P. Stevenson
Date (Start - End)SpreadMcGrathBookerStevenson
Polling Average
Booker+12.6
21.1%33.8%3.3%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Booker+18.0
18.0%36.0%3.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Booker+18.2
17.9%36.1%3.1%
Emerson CollegeJan 31 - Feb 2
Booker+11.4
18.7%30.1%4.3%
Public Policy PollingOct 17 - 18
Booker+3.0
30.0%33.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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