Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Adrian Smith

Adrian Smith

Overview

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief and extending/locking in pro-growth business and family tax provisions, favors predictability in the tax code for businesses, and emphasizes curbing federal spending while opposing tax increases. Prioritizes making key Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent and restoring business tax breaks.

Healthcare

Supports market-oriented changes to the health-care system, has called for repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act in past statements, and focuses on lowering drug costs, expanding telehealth, and addressing rural health access. Emphasis in recent work is on improving access and workforce training for rural communities and price transparency rather than proposing Medicare-for-All or single-payer policies.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement measures, including construction of additional border barrier infrastructure and expanded ICE/immigration enforcement programs, while criticizing policies that allow catch-and-release and advocating restoration of stricter asylum-related measures. Emphasizes restoring ‘‘rule of law’’ at the southern border and backing administration actions to tighten asylum and detention practices.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports significant restrictions on abortion including banning most abortions after 20 weeks with an exception for the life of the mother and measures to extend legal protection to the preborn; has backed federal measures to prevent taxpayer funding of abortion.

Climate & Energy

Supports American energy independence and expanded use of biofuels, favors policies that boost domestic fossil fuel and agricultural energy production while opposing policies that increase federal revenue for climate-related programs. Has backed regulatory relief and tax policies favorable to energy producers and rural/agricultural interests rather than aggressive emissions regulations or Green New Deal–style measures.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports broad Second Amendment protections, opposes new gun-control measures such as expanded background checks, and has cosponsored legislation to limit ATF enforcement actions against firearm dealers. Identifies as a lifetime NRA member and has received NRA support/ratings.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.0M
$1.5M
$998.3K
$499.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.7M
$914.5K
$1.9M
$80.9K

Cycle 2024

$2.0M
$928.2K
$2.0M
$82.6K

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$1.2M
$1.2M
$74.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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