Prediction Edge
Republican
Adam Schwarze

Overview

Current roleU.S. Marine Corps veteran

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationMinnesota

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BackgroundU.S. Marine Corps veteran

EducationThe Johns Hopkins University – Carey Business School (attendance reported, 2023)

Notable personal detailsAdam Schwarze is a Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in Minnesota and the Minnesota Republican Party’s endorsed candidate as of May 29, 2026. He is a military veteran who served in the U.S. Marine Corps and later as a Naval Special Warfare Officer (Navy SEAL). He was born in St. Paul, Minnesota in 1983 and grew up in Bloomington.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports lowering taxes, reducing government spending and regulation, pursuing a balanced budget, and offering small-business tax credits and regulatory relief to stimulate economic growth and job creation.

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement, opposes “open borders,” and calls for deterring illegal crossings and enforcing consequences for unlawful entry while also advocating dismantling trafficking networks and addressing root causes of migration. Emphasizes increased law enforcement resources and tougher federal enforcement rather than expanded legal pathways or broad regularization.

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Climate & Energy

Supports domestic energy production and criticizes policies that limit fossil-fuel development; frames energy policy in terms of reliability, affordability, and national security rather than aggressive emissions targets or major clean-energy mandates.

Polls

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
5.0%
42.5%
11.2%
Adam Schwarze
A. Schwarze
Michele Tafoya
M. Tafoya
Royce White
R. White
Tom Weiler
T. Weiler
David Hann
D. Hann
Date (Start - End)SpreadSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerHann
Polling Average
Tafoya+37.4
5.0%42.5%11.2%4.2%3.0%
SurveyUSAJul 15 - 20
Tafoya+36.0
5.0%41.0%10.0%7.0%
SurveyUSAJun 11 - 16
Tafoya+29.0
7.0%36.0%15.0%7.0%
Quantus InsightsMay 6 - 9
Tafoya+47.7
4.1%51.8%8.9%1.6%
Peak InsightsJan 31 - Feb 1
Tafoya+37.0
4.0%41.0%11.0%1.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

Endorsers of Adam Schwarze for Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

Minnesota Republican Party

Public figure

Minnesota Republican Party endorsed Adam Schwarze for U.S. Senate

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.4M
$1.0M
$697.1K
$348.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$211.2K
$1.2M
$65.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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