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Which Party wins the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 112 daysLast updated: Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

$45.2K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

94.0%

R. Party

8.4%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$45.2K

24h volume

$837

D. Party94%

R. Party8%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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November

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Pennsylvania 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Cook Political Report has moved the Pennsylvania governor race to Solid Democrat, citing Josh Shapiro’s strong lead over Stacy Garrity. Separately, a $50 million advocacy campaign will target Democrats in the 2026 midterms, including Pennsylvania, by emphasizing child and elder care costs. The Cook shift likely strengthens the Democratic side and lowers uncertainty in this market. The child care spending push could provide some additional Democratic support, but its direct effect on the governor race is unclear.

Articles

NNewsweek4 months ago

Josh Shapiro's chances of losing to Republican in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania has swung between parties in recent high-profile races, making the state central to national party strategies.

WEWashington Examiner4 months ago

The Democrats who could run for president in 2028

The 2026 midterm elections may be dominating the news cycle, but the 2028 presidential race is already on the horizon.

NNNBC News5 months ago

Unions privately urge Chuck Schumer and Democratic leaders to stay out of Maine's Senate primary

Union leaders in recent days have urged Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N

TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer6 months ago

President Donald Trump endorses Stacy Garrity to run against Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania governor's race

Trump's official support for Garrity offers a potential boost to the state Republican Party-endorsed candidate expected to challenge Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro in November.

WWJLA4 months ago

As Gov. Moore maintains a 2028 White House run is out, some continue to speculate

Maryland Gov. Wes Moore has maintained for months that he’s not jumping into the 2028 presidential race, but recent activities suggest there’s an inkling of int

NNewsweek4 months ago

Harris Overtakes Newsom In Potential Presidential Primary

A poll shows the former VP leading the California Governor among likely Democratic voters.

CNCBS News5 months ago

DNC announces frontrunner cities and date for 2028 convention, will not hold midterm convention

The DNC is announcing Monday that the 2028 national convention will be held from Aug. 7 to Aug. 10, CBS News has learned.

SASanta Ana Orange County Register4 months ago

$50 million push hopes to make child care top issue in 2026 midterms

An advocacy group is providing support to candidates who want to expand support for child and elder care in the midterm elections. The Campaign for a Family Friendly Economy plans to spend $50 million to back Democrats in congressional races.

Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

53.3%

38%

33.3%

J. Shapiro

D. Mastriano

S. Garrity

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Shapiro	Mastriano	Garrity
Polling Average	Shapiro+15.3	53.3%	38.0%	33.3%
Quinnipiac UniversityJul 9 - 13	Shapiro+13.0	53.0%	–	40.0%
Bravo GroupJun 18 - 25	Shapiro+25.0	54.0%	–	29.0%
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchJun 8 - 14	Shapiro+22.0	50.0%	–	28.0%
MAD Global StrategyJun 9 - 11	Shapiro+17.0	48.0%	–	31.0%
Bravo GroupMay 20 - 24	Shapiro+24.0	53.0%	–	29.0%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchMar 18 - 29	Shapiro+22.0	58.0%	–	36.0%
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 18 - Mar 1	Shapiro+20.0	48.0%	–	28.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityFeb 19 - 23	Shapiro+18.0	55.0%	–	37.0%
Quinnipiac UniversitySep 25 - 29	Shapiro+17.0	56.0%	39.0%	–
Quinnipiac UniversitySep 25 - 29	Shapiro+16.0	55.0%	–	39.0%
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchSep 22 - 28	Shapiro+18.0	55.0%	37.0%	–
Susquehanna Polling & ResearchSep 22 - 28	Shapiro+18.0	54.0%	–	36.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements
Fundraising

Which Party wins the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Election?

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Josh Shapiro's chances of losing to Republican in Pennsylvania

The Democrats who could run for president in 2028

Unions privately urge Chuck Schumer and Democratic leaders to stay out of Maine's Senate primary

President Donald Trump endorses Stacy Garrity to run against Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania governor's race

As Gov. Moore maintains a 2028 White House run is out, some continue to speculate

Harris Overtakes Newsom In Potential Presidential Primary

DNC announces frontrunner cities and date for 2028 convention, will not hold midterm convention

$50 million push hopes to make child care top issue in 2026 midterms

Polls

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Upcoming Events

News

Josh Shapiro's chances of losing to Republican in Pennsylvania

The Democrats who could run for president in 2028

Unions privately urge Chuck Schumer and Democratic leaders to stay out of Maine's Senate primary

President Donald Trump endorses Stacy Garrity to run against Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania governor's race

As Gov. Moore maintains a 2028 White House run is out, some continue to speculate

Harris Overtakes Newsom In Potential Presidential Primary

DNC announces frontrunner cities and date for 2028 convention, will not hold midterm convention

$50 million push hopes to make child care top issue in 2026 midterms

Polls

Related races

PA-07 House winner?

PA-10 House winner?

PA-08 House winner?

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