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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
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source: Kalshi
The biggest update is that Trump’s declining approval is being cited as a drag on Republican prospects in blue states. Separately, New Mexico is among the states proposing limits on federal immigration agents near polling places. That could matter more for election climate than for the governor race itself. The news is mildly favorable to Democrats if Trump’s weakness carries into blue-state races. The polling-place proposals do not directly change the governor race, but they reinforce a Democratic-leaning election environment.
Former Las Cruces mayor Ken Miyagishima has dropped out of the Democratic primary and will run as an independent for New Mexico governor, reshaping the 2026 race with Deb Haaland and Sam Bregman while appealing to the state’s growing bloc of independent voters.
House Republican leadership is calling on Rep. Tony Gonzales, R-Texas, to drop his re-election bid after he admitted to having an affair with a staffer — w
After President Donald Trump’s unexpectedly competitive showings in big blue states around the country, Republicans emerged from the 2024 election expressing optimism about their prospects in places that Democrats have dominated for years. But as the midterm election approaches, those prospects have dwindled.
Several Democratic states are moving to bar federal immigration agents from being near polling places and other election sites, amid persistent worries that President Donald Trump will use federal law enforcement or the military to disrupt the midterm elections.Measures to restrict federal agents fr...
Several Democratic states are moving to bar federal immigration agents from being near polling places and other election sites, amid persistent worries that President Donald Trump will use federal law enforcement or the military to disrupt the midterm elections. Measures to restrict federal agents from operating at or near election-related locations have been offered in more than half a dozen ...
Republicans hold a narrow majority in the House, and the party risks losing control of the chamber if Democrats net just a handful of seats.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.