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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
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source: Kalshi
New Mexico is included in a wave of Democratic-state proposals to keep federal immigration agents away from polling places. The stated goal is to reduce voter intimidation and election disruption. A separate report says Trump’s declining approval is making Republican prospects worse in blue states. The polling-place proposals may slightly favor Democrats by emphasizing election protection. The Trump approval story could also weigh on GOP chances in a blue state, though the effect is indirect.
Former Las Cruces mayor Ken Miyagishima has dropped out of the Democratic primary and will run as an independent for New Mexico governor, reshaping the 2026 race with Deb Haaland and Sam Bregman while appealing to the state’s growing bloc of independent voters.
House Republican leadership is calling on Rep. Tony Gonzales, R-Texas, to drop his re-election bid after he admitted to having an affair with a staffer — w
After President Donald Trump’s unexpectedly competitive showings in big blue states around the country, Republicans emerged from the 2024 election expressing optimism about their prospects in places that Democrats have dominated for years. But as the midterm election approaches, those prospects have dwindled.
Several Democratic states are moving to bar federal immigration agents from being near polling places and other election sites, amid persistent worries that President Donald Trump will use federal law enforcement or the military to disrupt the midterm elections.Measures to restrict federal agents fr...
Several Democratic states are moving to bar federal immigration agents from being near polling places and other election sites, amid persistent worries that President Donald Trump will use federal law enforcement or the military to disrupt the midterm elections. Measures to restrict federal agents from operating at or near election-related locations have been offered in more than half a dozen ...
Republicans hold a narrow majority in the House, and the party risks losing control of the chamber if Democrats net just a handful of seats.
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.