$21.4K
NOV 3, 2027
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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source: Kalshi
The biggest item is Trump replacing Kristi Noem at Homeland Security and tapping Markwayne Mullin to take over. The move followed scrutiny over a large ad campaign and congressional questioning. None of the reported news directly changes the Kentucky governor contest. The news is not directly about the Kentucky governor race, so it likely has little immediate effect on this market. Any impact on party sentiment is indirect and unclear.
The 2026 midterm elections may be dominating the news cycle, but the 2028 presidential race is already on the horizon.
Trump replaced Kristi Noem as secretary of the Department of Homeland Security after lawmakers grilled her over an ad campaign that featured her.
Noem's firing comes after a controversial tenure at DHS with nationwide protests, a partial government shutdown and a divisive ad campaign.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
